1995—2016年深圳市用水量变化与节水潜力分析
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TV213.9

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水利部技术示范项目(SF-201803)


Analysis of water consumption change from 1995 to 2016 and water saving potential in Shenzhen City
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    摘要:

    基于1995—2016年深圳市用水量和用水效率指标,分析了1995—2016年全市用水总量和分行业用水量的变化特征,解析了影响用水量变化的主要驱动因素,并对工业、城市公共服务业和居民生活节水潜力进行了评估。结果表明:1995年以来深圳用水总量变化可分为1995—2008年和2008—2016年两个阶段,前一阶段用水总量随经济社会发展持续快速增长,后一阶段随着产业结构的调整和用水效率的提升,全市用水总量增速显著降低,呈波动缓慢上升的特征;深圳市经济规模的持续扩张对用水总量具有显著的正向驱动作用,但产业结构的调整和用水效率的提升明显抑制了用水量的过快增长,且近年对用水效率的抑制作用更为突出;当前深圳市用水效率已处于较先进水平,但仍需进一步提升用水效率,目标年(2020年)全市可挖掘的节水潜力为2.518亿m3,约相当于2016年用水总量的13%。

    Abstract:

    Based on the indicators of water consumption and water use efficiency in Shenzhen from 1995 to 2016, this paper analyzed the change characteristics of total water consumption and water consumption by industries in Shenzhen from 1995 to 2016, analyzed the main driving factors affecting the change of water consumption, and evaluated the water saving potential of industry, urban public servies and residents. The results show that the total water use in Shenzhen since 1995 can be divided into two stages: 1995—2008 and 2008—2016. In the first stage, the total water use continued to grow rapidly with the economic and social development. In the second stage, with the adjustment of industrial structure and the improvement of water use efficiency, the growth rate of the total water use in Shenzhen decreased significantly, showing a slow rise in fluctuation. The continuous expansion of Shenzhen’s economic scale has a significant positive driving effect on the total water consumption, but the adjustment of industrial structure and the improvement of water use efficiency have obviously inhibited the excessive growth of water consumption, and the inhibition of water use efficiency is more prominent in recent years. At present, the water use efficiency of Shenzhen is at a relatively advanced level, but it is still further improved. In 2020, the water saving potential in Shenzhen is 245 million m3, about 13% of the total water consumption in 2016.

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曹士圯,胡庆芳,蒋思佳,等.1995—2016年深圳市用水量变化与节水潜力分析[J].水资源保护,2019,35(6):76-81.(CAO Shiyi, HU Qingfang, JIANG Sijia, et al. Analysis of water consumption change from 1995 to 2016 and water saving potential in Shenzhen City[J]. Water Resources Protection,2019,35(6):76-81.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2018-12-19
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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-11-28
  • 出版日期: 2019-11-20