中美国债收益率比较分析——来自2002—2014 年国债市场的经验证据
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F810.5

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国家社会科学基金项目(14BGL031);江苏省社会科学基金项目(13YEA001);江苏省教育厅重点项目(2013ZDIXM013)


A Comparative Analysis of Treasury Bond Yields in the U. S and China
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    摘要:

    国债收益率波动对于一国金融市场配置资源的效率,乃至金融市场的稳定具有重要影响。本文以2002-2014 年中美国债市场数据为样本,从国债收益率曲线、收益率波动以及影响因素等方面对中美国债收益率进行了比较研究。结果发现,中国交易所市场和银行间市场国债收益率形态并不一致,中美国债收益率波动也具有各自特征;中美国债收益率对于美元指数变化的反应并不相同,当美元升值时,中美国债收益率表现出一定程度的趋同性,而当美元贬值时,中美国债收益率则表现出一定程度的背离;中美国债收益率对于物价指数变动的反应相同,均与各自国内物价指数间呈现正向关系。基于此,论文从丰富国债交易品种、完善交易机制、发挥国债市场资金价格功能等方面提出了完善我国国债市场发展的政策建议。

    Abstract:

    Bonds yields fluctuations have an importantimpact on the efficiency of a country 's financial marketresources allocation, and even the stability of financialmarkets. Based on the data from 2002 to 2014 of the bondsmarket in China and in the United States, this paper carriesout the comparative study of bond yields in China and in theUnited States from the perspectives of treasury bond yieldscurve, yields fluctuations and influential factors. Theresults show that the exchange market and interbank marketyields on treasure bonds form, yields fluctuations of Chinaand the United States have their respective characteristics;Yields of China and the United States for the dollar indexchange of the reaction are not the same. With theappreciation of the dollars, China and the United Statestreasury bonds yields show a certain degree of convergence,while with the depreciation of the Dollars, China and theUnited States treasury bond yields shows a certain degree ofdeviation; China and the United States treasury bond yieldshave the same reaction to the price index changes, whichhas a positive relationship with the domestic price index.On the basis of the analysis, the paper makes the followingpolicy suggestions to perfect the development of China’streasury bond market: enriching treasury bond tradingvarieties, improving the trading mechanism and bring intoplay the fund function of treasury bond market.

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史兹国,刘玥.中美国债收益率比较分析——来自2002—2014 年国债市场的经验证据[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2015,17(2):77-82.(SHI Ziguo, LIU Yue. A Comparative Analysis of Treasury Bond Yields in the U. S and China[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2015,17(2):77-82.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-05-25
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