西部山区农民易地扶贫搬迁意愿的影响因素
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F224.9

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国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD172);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划省立省助项目(KYZZ15_0160)


Factors of Farmers’Relocation Willingness of Poverty Alleviation in Western Mountain Areas
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    摘要:

    从现在到2020年是打赢脱贫攻坚战的关键时期,从农民自身角度研究搬迁意愿,对加快实施易地扶贫移民搬迁具有重要意义。研究依据西方微观人口迁移理论:地方效用理论、计划行为理论和效价[CD*2]期望理论,整合构建了中国国情下由政府引导的易地扶贫搬迁意愿的理论分析框架。以陕南移民搬迁为例,在验证性因子分析的基础上,运用有序Logit模型和最优尺度模型对理论假设进行检验。结果显示:①心理因素、政策和预期因素、环境因素对搬迁意愿具有显著影响 ②控制变量中家庭人口数、非农劳动力比例、家庭成员求学婚姻等控制变量与搬迁意愿显著相关;③没有搬迁的主要的顾虑是搬迁后找不到工作、城镇生活成本高、搬迁成本高、搬迁后的适应等问题。研究建议政府部门在搬迁补助、就业安置、搬迁后适应等方面加大支持力度,增强搬迁的信心。

    Abstract:

    It is a critical period to win the battle for poverty alleviation from now to 2020. It is of great significance to promote poverty alleviation based on the study of relocation willingness from the perspective of migrants. On the basis of microlevel theory of migration of population, including place utility theory, theory of planned behavior and value expectancy theory, this paper develops a conceptual framework of the willingness to voluntary relocation under government’s help. To verify the theoretical model, it builds an ordered Logit model and an optimal scale model after Confirmatory Factor Analysis is applied to. Results show that: ①Psychological factors, policy factors, expected benefit factors, as well as environmental factors significantly have impact on the willingness to relocation.②The control variables, including the number of family members, the proportion of nonagricultural and life events for study and marriage have significant correlations with the dependent variable.③The barriers to relocation are unemployment, high relocation costs, high living costs and adaption problems. It is then suggested that government should provide more supports for the migrants, such as relocation subsidy, employment placement, employment aid and adaptation support.

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施国庆 周君璧.西部山区农民易地扶贫搬迁意愿的影响因素[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018,20(2):23-31.(SHI Guoqing. Factors of Farmers’Relocation Willingness of Poverty Alleviation in Western Mountain Areas[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2018,20(2):23-31.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-04-23
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