城市空间结构对地方政府负债的影响研究——基于全国地级市面板数据的实证研究
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F812;TU984

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国家自然科学基金项目(71473116,71874080);教育部人文社会科学一般项目(18YJA630119)


The Relationship between Urban Spatial Structure and Governmental Debt:An Empirical Study Based on the Data of Prefecture-Level Cities
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    摘要:

    长期以来,由城市空间粗放扩张且结构失衡引发城市债务系统性风险加大是城市规划建设领域呈现出的突出问题。选取全国272个地级市2005—2017年面板数据,构建基于城市空间结构与地方政府负债率的计量模型,并从东、中、西三大区域和大城市、中等城市、小城市3种城市规模尺度分析了城市空间结构与地方政府负债的关系。研究结果显示,城市用地扩张、城市人口密度变化、城市用地结构对地方政府负债率具有显著影响。据此,提出约束空间扩张、调控人口密度和优化用地结构以优化政府负债的政策建议。

    Abstract:

    Preventing and mitigating major risks, especially reducing local government debt risks,is a new requirement put forward by the 19th CPC National Congress. For a long time,urban space has expanded extensively and its structure has become unbalanced, resulting in increasing systemic risk of urban debt, which presents an outstanding issue in the field of urban planning and construction. Selecting panel data of 272 prefecture-level cities nationwide from 2005 to 2017, this paper builds an econometric model to analyze the relationship between urban spatial structure and local government debt on the scale of three major regions of the east,middle and west and on the scale of large,mediumand small cities. The results of the study show that urban land expansion, urban population density changesand urban land use structure have a significant impact on local governmental debt ratio. Accordingly,recommendations are proposed for constraining space expansion,regulating population density and optimizing land use structure to optimize government debt.

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韩柯子.城市空间结构对地方政府负债的影响研究——基于全国地级市面板数据的实证研究[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2019,21(4):52-58.(HAN Kezi. The Relationship between Urban Spatial Structure and Governmental Debt:An Empirical Study Based on the Data of Prefecture-Level Cities[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2019,21(4):52-58.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-06-28
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