Deformation prediction method of concrete dam based on SSA-LSTM-GF
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(1.College of Water Conservancy and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.Kinetic Energy Conversion Promotion Office, Qingdao Development and Reform Commission, Qingdao 266000, China;3.Qingdao Economic Development Research Institute, Qingdao 266000, China;4. Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc., Kunming 650214, China)

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TV698.1

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    Abstract:

    In view of the complexity of deformation analysis and prediction for the concrete dam, a deformation analysis and prediction method of concrete dam based on SSA-LSTM-GF is proposed by using the idea of phase space reconstruction and fusion modeling. Firstly, the measured data sequence of deformation is decomposed into the trend component, the periodic component and the remaining component by singular spectrum analysis (SSA), and the remaining component is removed as noise; then, long short-term memory (LSTM) model and Gaussian fitting (GF) algorithm are used to analyze and predict the periodic component and the trend component respectively; finally, the two results are reconstructed to obtain the final prediction results. The example analysis shows that SSA can achieve good data decomposition and denoising effect; LSTM model has superior prediction performance for periodic components; GF algorithm can well realize the fitting and prediction of trend components and the mining and extraction of some information; the reconstruction effect of the results of LSTM model and GF algorithm is good. In conclusion, the deformation analysis and prediction method based on SSA-LSTM-GF has certain feasibility and research application value.

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周兰庭,邓思源,柳志坤,等.基于SSA-LSTM-GF的混凝土坝变形预测方法[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2023,51(2):73-80, 149.(ZHOU Lanting, DENG Siyuan, LIU Zhikun, et al. Deformation prediction method of concrete dam based on SSA-LSTM-GF[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2023,51(2):73-80, 149.(in Chinese))

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History
  • Received:February 23,2022
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: April 14,2023
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