Retrospective simulation on the Haihe “23·7” basin-wide extreme flood
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(1.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.Research Center of Hydrological Survey of Hebei, Shijiazhuang 050031, China;3.School of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China;4.Key Laboratory of Hydrometeorological Disaster Mechanism and Warning of Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China )

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P338

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    Abstract:

    To support the decision-making and forecasting work for the catastrophic flood in the Haihe River Basin, the Zijingguan and Manshuihe sub-basins, located in the Daqing River where a catastrophic flood occurred in July 2023, were selected for the flood simulation and prediction with the Xin’anjiang-Haihe model based on measured rainfall and discharge data. For the Zijingguan sub-basin, 5 floods from 1996 to 2020 were chosen for the parameter calibration, while for the Manshuihe sub-basin, 8 floods from 1953 to 2016 were used. The simulation was validated against the Haihe “23·7” basin-wide extreme flood event. The results showed that the relative errors of peak discharge and flood volume in both sub-basins were within 20%, with a peak timing error of 0 hours. The high accuracy of the hydrological model constructed in this study, along with the good agreement between simulation and measured results, demonstrates its ability to reflect the actual flood process. A comparison between different models revealed that the Xin’anjiang-Haihe model performed better in the Manshuihe sub-basin, which is more affected by human activities, compared to the Zijingguan sub-basin with lesser human influence.

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李致家,张心愿,白云鹏,等.海河“23·7”流域性特大洪水复盘模拟[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2024,52(5):13-19, 92.(LI Zhijia, ZHANG Xinyuan, BAI Yunpeng, et al. Retrospective simulation on the Haihe “23·7” basin-wide extreme flood[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2024,52(5):13-19, 92.(in Chinese))

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History
  • Received:January 08,2024
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  • Online: September 25,2024
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