Analysis of extreme precipitation changes in Lijiang River Basin based on ITA and Mann-Kendall methods
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(1.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China;3.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

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TV125;P426.614

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    Abstract:

    To analyze the characteristics of extreme precipitation changes in Lijiang River Basin under the background of global climate change, based on the daily precipitation data of various meteorological gauges from 1963 to 2019, the modified ETCCDI indices are used to analyze the trend of extreme precipitation in Lijiang River Basin at gauge scale and the whole basin scale using two non-parametric testing methods, innovative trend analysis(ITA) method and Mann-Kendall method. In addition, the annual precipitation, flood season precipitation and the occurrence time of extreme precipitation events are also included in the analysis. Results show that the annual precipitation and flood season precipitation are increasing from 1963 to 2019. The extreme precipitation indices show spatial distribution pattern of decreasing from northwest to southeast in the basin and the indices at all gauges show an upward trend in general. Besides, the occurrence time of the earliest extreme precipitation event within a year is generally delayed in the north of the basin and advanced in the southern part. At the same time, there is an obvious difference in the trend significance test results of extreme precipitation indices between ITA and Mann-Kendall methods, and the sensitivity of ITA is stronger.

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张姣,胡庆芳,黄璟胜,等.基于ITA法和Mann-Kendall法的漓江流域极端降水变化解析[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2024,52(6):15-22.(ZHANG Jiao, HU Qingfang, HUANG Jingsheng, et al. Analysis of extreme precipitation changes in Lijiang River Basin based on ITA and Mann-Kendall methods[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2024,52(6):15-22.(in Chinese))

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History
  • Received:December 08,2023
  • Revised:
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  • Online: November 22,2024
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