Attribution analysis of runoff evolution in cold alpine catchment based on Budyko theory
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(1.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098,China;3.Shannan Branch, Hydrology and Water Resources Survey Bureau of Xizang Autonomous Region, Shannan 856100, China;4.School of Geography and Environment, Liaocheng University, Liaocheng 252000, China;5.School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070, China )

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P333.1

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    Abstract:

    To further understand the mechanism of runoff evolution in cold alpine catchment under climate changes, the evolution characteristics of hydro-meteorological elements in the Yangbajain Catchment from 1982 to 2013 were systematically analyzed. By incorporating glacier mass balance and groundwater storage changes into the Budyko attribution analysis equation, the contributions made by changes in each factor to runoff evolution in the catchment were assessed.The results show that precipitation, average temperature, potential evapotranspiration, runoff amount,and groundwater storage in the Yangbajain Catchment show an upward trend from 1982 to 2013, with increasing rates of 3.0 mm/a, 0.02℃/a ( p <0.05), 0.53 mm/a, 1.99 mm/a ( p <0.05), and 2.18 mm/a ( p <0.05), respectively. As the climate gets warm and humid, the sensitivity of runoff evolution in the catchment to changes in the hydro-meteorological elements has increased. The contribution rates of precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, underlying surface of non-glacial areas, glacier mass balance, and groundwater storage changes to runoff changes are 189%, -2.99%, -78.3%, 20.9%, and -28.7%, respectively. Improvement in vegetation growth and degradation of frozen soil are important factors causing changes in the underlying surface in the catchment, with contribution rates to runoff changes of -27.9% and -50.4%, respectively.

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郭珈源,孙旭杨,刘金涛,等.基于Budyko理论的高寒山区流域径流演变归因分析[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2025,53(3):22-29.(GUO Jiayuan, SUN Xuyang, LIU Jintao, et al. Attribution analysis of runoff evolution in cold alpine catchment based on Budyko theory[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2025,53(3):22-29.(in Chinese))

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History
  • Received:July 12,2024
  • Revised:
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  • Online: May 26,2025
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