Application of spatial autoregressive model in prediction of high slope deformation
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    Abstract:

    In consideration of the fact that the interaction between different monitoring points is seldom considered in traditional displacement monitoring, the application of the spatial autoregressive model in the prediction of high slope deformation was examined based on the basic theory of spatial econometrics. Using a high slope as an example, the results of displacement prediction based on the monitoring data of exterior deformation were compared with those from the traditional autoregressive integrated moving average model. The results show that, with a significant spatial autocorrelation coefficient, the spatial autoregressive model is more accurate than the traditional model in prediction of slope deformation, and that, compared with the traditional model, the spatial autoregressive model has more concise parameters, considers the factors more comprehensively, and can perform displacement prediction at different monitoring points at the same time.

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秦栋,陈慧艳.空间自回归模型在水库边坡位移预测中的应用[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2017,45(2):104-108.(QIN Dong, CHEN Huiyan (Datang(Beijing)Water Engineering Technology Co., Ltd.,et al. Application of spatial autoregressive model in prediction of high slope deformation[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2017,45(2):104-108.(in Chinese))

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  • Received:June 13,2016
  • Revised:
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  • Online: March 22,2017
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