基于省际面板数据农业虚拟水“ 资源诅咒冶 效应的实证检验
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F327

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Empirical research on resource curse effect of agricultural virtual water based on provincial panel data in China
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    摘要:

    资源诅咒冶效应困扰地区的经济增长。针对中国现阶段水资源短缺状况,基于省际面板数 据,参照“资源诅咒冶假说,通过初步检验和建立时间效应的动态面板数据回归模型,以我国29 个 省份(地区)1993—2012 年面板数据为样本,对农业虚拟水“资源诅咒冶效应进行了实证检验,并通 过构建“资源丰度—经济增长率冶象限图确定“资源诅咒冶困扰省份。结果表明:农业虚拟水“资源 诅咒冶效应在我国短期内客观存在,但随着时间的推移,农业虚拟水“资源诅咒冶效应趋于减弱。

    Abstract:

    The resource curse effect hinders the economic growth of resource abundant regions. With regard to the current situation of water shortage in China, based on the provincial panel data and referring to the resource curse hypothesis, the resource curse effect of the agricultural virtual water is empirically validated through preliminary tests and by establishing a regression model for dynamic panel data of time effect in 29 provinces (regions) of China from 1993 to 2012. The resource curse troubled provinces are determined by formulating a resource abundance-economic growth quadrant graph. The results show that the resource curse effect of agriculture virtual water objectively exists in the short term in China. However, with the elapse of time, the resource curse effect of agricultural virtual water tends to weaken.

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田贵良,郑慧祥子.基于省际面板数据农业虚拟水“ 资源诅咒冶 效应的实证检验[J].水利经济,2015,33(1):4-8.(Empirical research on resource curse effect of agricultural virtual water based on provincial panel data in China[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2015,33(1):4-8.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-05-06
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