大保护背景下长江经济带水资源压力结构特征与优化路径
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F407.9

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国家重点研发计划项目(2019YFC0409000)


Structural characteristics and optimal path of water resource stress in Yangtze River Economic Belt under background of great conservation
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    摘要:

    如何优化水资源压力结构是“十四五”时期长江经济带继续支撑全国经济社会高质量发展所需解决的约束性问题。在“共抓大保护,不搞大开发”的背景下,采用压力指数法和多区域投入产出模型,从虚拟水视角分析2002—2019年长江经济带水资源压力结构特征和虚拟水流动对区域压力的贡献。结果表明:长江经济带各省市间实际压力年均值和变化趋势差距明显,其中上海、江苏压力值远高于其他省市,二者对过境水的依赖性较强;江苏、安徽、湖南、湖北、江西主要呈现虚拟水对内净流出状态,且安徽和江西的虚拟水净流出量为上升趋势;总体上,通过贸易隐含虚拟水转移对缓解上海、浙江和重庆的水资源压力的贡献较大,而对安徽、江西、湖北、湖南地区却呈压力加剧的作用力。提出包括建立科学的产业结构并进一步推进节水力度、改善区域内外贸易结构、协调虚拟水和实物水流出量等实现长江经济带水资源压力的区域空间均衡的对策建议。

    Abstract:

    How to optimize the stress structure of water resources is a binding issue for the Yangtze River Economic Belt to continue to support the high-quality development of the national economy and society of China during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. In the background of “joint protection and cautious exploitation”, the stress index method and the multi-regional input-output model are used to analyze the structural characteristics of water resource stress and the contribution of virtual water flow to the regional stress in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2002 to 2019 from the perspective of virtual water. The results show that there are significant gaps in the actual annual average stress and the changing trend among the provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The stress values in Shanghai and Jiangsu are much higher than those in other provinces and cities, and they are strongly dependent on the transiting water. The virtual water in Jiangsu, Anhui, Hunan, Hubei and Jiangxi mainly presents the state of net internal outflow, and the net outflow of virtual water in Anhui and Jiangxi exhibits an upward trend. In general, the virtual water transfer implied by trade has made a greater contribution to alleviating the water resource stress in Shanghai, Zhejiang and Chongqing. However, it exerts increasing pressure on Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei and Hunan. Finally, some suggestions are put forward for the regional spatial balance of water resource stress in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, including establishing a scientific industrial structure and further promoting water conservation, improving the internal and external trade structure of the region, and coordinating the outflow of virtual water and physical water.

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李欣瑾,高玉屏,周申蓓.大保护背景下长江经济带水资源压力结构特征与优化路径[J].水利经济,2021,39(6):16-23.(LI Xinjin, GAO Yuping, ZHOU Shenbei. Structural characteristics and optimal path of water resource stress in Yangtze River Economic Belt under background of great conservation[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2021,39(6):16-23.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-12-01
  • 出版日期: 2021-11-30