基于TOPSIS法的赣江尾闾多汊河流枢纽布置方案评价
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作者单位:

(1.江西省赣抚尾闾整治有限公司;2.中铁水利水电规划设计集团有限公司;3.江西省水工结构工程技术中心;4.河海大学水利水电学院 )

作者简介:

张亮(1985—),男,高级工程师,主要从事水利工程建设管理研究。E-mail:343514941@qq.com

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3209005);国家自然科学基金项目(520031111);赣江下游尾闾综合整治工程科研课题研究项目(824103416)


Evaluation of hub layout schemes for multi-branched rivers in Ganjiang River estuary based on TOPSIS method
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Affiliation:

1.Jiangxi Province Ganfu Coccyx Renovate Co., Ltd.; 2.China Railway Water Resources and Hydropower Planning and Design Group Co., Ltd.; 3.Jiangxi Hydraulic Structure Engineering Technology Center; 4.College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University

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    摘要:

    针对赣江尾闾多汊河流枢纽工程,开展坝址选择、船闸和泄水闸布置等技术方案研究,从经济效益、生态保护效益和社会效益3个维度构建了涵盖14项评价指标的评价指标体系;选取政府建设部门、生态环保部门、当地社区及建设企业为代表性利益主体,采用层次分析法确定主观权重,并通过Shapley值法引入博弈机制进行组合赋权,同时运用熵权法计算客观权重,比较多种主、客观赋权方法的效果,最终应用TOPSIS法对各方案进行优选。研究结果表明:各利益主体的指标偏好存在显著差异,政府建设部门与建设企业更关注经济效益,生态环保部门侧重生态保护效益,当地社区则聚焦社会效益,博弈赋权可有效均衡各方诉求;结合客观权重,整体权重分配更均衡,提升了评价结果的公平性与客观性;比选结果显示,方案间差异程度主要取决于布置单元的维度、广度和外部约束收敛,南支泄水闸、中支船闸与北支坝址等布置方案因涉及指标少、指标数值接近,因而综合得分接近,其他方案则差异明显。

    Abstract:

    Targeting the hub project of multi-branched rivers in Ganjiang River estuary, this study conducts researches on technical schemes including dam site selection, ship lock and sluice layout. An evaluation index system containing 14 indicators is established from three dimensions namely economic benefit, ecological protection benefit and social benefit. Representative stakeholders including government construction departments, ecological and environmental protection departments, local communities and construction enterprises are selected. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is adopted to determine subjective weights, and the Shapley value method is used to introduce game theory mechanism for combined weighting. Meanwhile, the entropy weight method is applied to calculate objective weights, and the effects of various subjective and objective weighting methods are compared. Finally, the TOPSIS method is used to optimize all alternative schemes. The research results show that stakeholders have obvious differences in indicator preference. Governments and enterprises pay more attention to economic benefits, environmental protection departments focus on ecological protection benefits, while communities prioritize social benefits. Game based weighting can effectively balance the demands of all parties. Combined with objective weights, the overall weight distribution becomes more balanced, which improves the fairness and objectivity of evaluation results. The comparison results indicate that the discrepancy among schemes mainly depends on the coverage scope of layout units and the convergence degree of external constraints. Layout schemes such as sluice on the south branch, ship lock on the middle branch and dam site on the north branch have close comprehensive scores due to fewer involved indicators and similar indicator values, while distinct differences exist among other schemes.

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张亮,杨志华,黄显峰,等.基于TOPSIS法的赣江尾闾多汊河流枢纽布置方案评价[J].水利经济,2026,44(3):90-97.(Zhang Liang, Yang Zhihua, Huang Xianfeng, et al. Evaluation of hub layout schemes for multi-branched rivers in Ganjiang River estuary based on TOPSIS method[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2026,44(3):90-97.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2025-05-22
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-29
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