“一带一路”非洲区水-粮-能安全分析
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TV213.4

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Analysis of water-food-energy safety in Africa area of “Belt and Road”
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    摘要:

    以“一带一路”主体水资源区在非洲涉及的6个国家为研究区,根据2015年水资源、粮食和能源相关数据,采用单指标量化-多指标综合-多准则集成方法,分别计算了研究区水资源、粮食和能源的安全指数及3种资源的综合安全指数并分析其安全程度。结果表明:埃及水资源重度不安全,粮食轻度不安全,能源基本安全,综合安全程度为轻度不安全;苏丹水资源轻度不安全,粮食重度不安全,能源基本安全,综合安全程度为轻度不安全;厄立特里亚水资源和粮食均为轻度不安全,能源极度不安全,综合安全程度为重度不安全;吉布提水资源重度不安全,粮食和能源均为极度不安全,综合安全程度为极度不安全;索马里水资源基本安全,粮食重度不安全,能源极度不安全,综合安全程度为重度不安全;肯尼亚水资源轻度不安全,粮食基本安全,能源极度不安全,综合安全程度为重度不安全。

    Abstract:

    Six countries involved in the main water resource areas in Africa area of the “Belt and Road” were selected as research areas. According to 2015 data of water resources, food, and energy, the evaluation method of single index quantification and multiple indices synthesis and poly-criteria integration was used to calculate the safety indices of water, food, and energy in the study area and the comprehensive safety index of 3 kinds of resources and analyze their safety degree. The results show that Egypts water resources are highly unsafe, its food is lightly unsafe, its energy is basically safe, and its comprehensive safety degree is lightly unsafe. Sudans water resources are lightly unsafe, its food is highly unsafe, its energy is basically safe, and its comprehensive safety degree is lightly unsafe. Eritreas water resources and food are lightly unsafe, its energy is extremely unsafe, and its comprehensive safety degree is highly unsafe. Djiboutis water resources are highly unsafe, its food and energy are extremely unsafe, and its comprehensive safety degree is extremely unsafe. Somalis water resources are basically safe, its food is highly unsafe, its energy is extremely unsafe, and its comprehensive safety degree is highly unsafe. Kenyas water resources are lightly unsafe, its food is basically safe, its energy is extremely unsafe, and its comprehensive safety degree is highly unsafe.

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李东林,刘建华,郝林钢,等.“一带一路”非洲区水-粮-能安全分析[J].水资源保护,2018,34(4):22-28.(LI Donglin, LIU Jianhua, HAO Lingang, et al. Analysis of water-food-energy safety in Africa area of “Belt and Road”[J]. Water Resources Protection,2018,34(4):22-28.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2018-02-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-06-27
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