中国水-能源-粮食纽带系统安全水平与全要素生产率时空耦合协调关系分析
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(陕西师范大学西北历史环境与经济社会发展研究院,陕西 西安 710119)

作者简介:

王恒(1994—),男,博士研究生,主要从事资源环境经济及农业区域发展研究。E-mail:wangheng@snnu.edu.cn 通信作者:方兰(1969—),女,教授,博士,主要从事水资源管理和“三农”问题研究。E-mail:fanglan@snnu.edu.cn

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中图分类号:

TV213.9

基金项目:

陕西省哲学社会科学重大理论与现实问题研究项目(2021ZD1043)


Spatial-temporal coupling coordination relationship between the security level of water-energy-food nexus system and total factor productivity in China
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(Northwest Institute of Historical Environment and Socio-Economic Development, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710119, China)

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    摘要:

    为研究中国资源系统与经济系统耦合协调发展状况,通过构建水-能源-粮食纽带系统安全评价指标体系,应用TOPSIS模型、DEA-Malmquist指数和耦合协调度模型,对中国30个省(自治区、直辖市)(不包括港澳台及西藏)水-能源-粮食纽带系统安全水平与全要素生产率进行了测算,从时间和空间的角度分析了二者耦合协调关系。结果表明:中国水-能源-粮食纽带系统安全水平呈“双极分布”的空间格局,整体安全水平逐年提升,粮食子系统安全水平最高,水资源子系统安全水平最低;2005—2019年中国全要素生产率呈波动上升态势,水-能源-粮食纽带系统与全要素生产率耦合协调时空格局差异显著,耦合协调度呈现上升趋势,空间格局由南至北呈现出“高—低—高”的空间分布特征,时间维度上耦合协调呈现向高水平耦合阶段演进的趋势。

    Abstract:

    In order to study the coupling coordination development of resource system and economic system, the evaluation index system of water-energy-food (WEF) nexus system security was constructed, which employed TOPSIS model, DEA-Malmquist index and coupling coordination degree model to estimate the WEF nexus system security level and total factor productivity (TFP) as well as the coupling coordination relationship between them from the perspective of time and space of 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan ang Tibet) in China. Results show that the spatial pattern of WEF nexus system security level in China is bipolar distribution and the comprehensive security level is increasing year by year with the security level of food system being highest and that of water resource system being lowest. From 2005 to 2019, TFP in China shows a fluctuating upward trend. The spatial and temporal pattern difference in the coupling coordination between WEF nexus system and TFP is significant and the coupling coordination degree shows an upward trend. The spatial pattern presents the spatial distribution characteristics of “high-low-high” from south to north, while the coupling coordination shows a trend of evolution to a high-level coupling stage from time dimension.

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王恒,方兰.中国水-能源-粮食纽带系统安全水平与全要素生产率时空耦合协调关系分析[J].水资源保护,2023,39(1):150-157.(WANG Heng, FANG Lan. Spatial-temporal coupling coordination relationship between the security level of water-energy-food nexus system and total factor productivity in China[J]. Water Resources Protection,2023,39(1):150-157.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2021-10-15
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-01-21
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