新疆水资源利用与产业发展关联研究
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TV213

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国家自然科学基金(U1803241,51779230)


Research on relationship between water resources utilization and industrial development in Xinjiang
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    摘要:

    使用脱钩理论和基于数列的匹配度计算方法,对新疆14个地州2005—2006年、2009—2010年、2013—2014年和2017—2018年水资源利用与产业经济增长关系进行研究,分析新疆产业用水量与GDP关联程度,并将两者计算结果进行对比。结果表明:使用一种方法分析指标间关系可能存在不合理的情况,应考虑地区实际情况,选择合适的方法;在研究年限内,人均用水量与人均GDP适配情况较好,其中2013—2014年情况最好;各地州产业用水量与产业GDP适配程度存在明显的时空差异,其中,农业单位面积平均用水量与GDP适配度大致呈现适配-负适配的变化趋势;昌吉回族自治州、阿勒泰地区和巴音郭楞蒙古自治州工业增加值与用水量适配情况较差;各地州第三产业用水量与GDP适配关系随时间波动明显。

    Abstract:

    The relationship between water resources utilization and industrial economic growth of 14 cities in Xinjiang in 2005-2006, 2009-2010, 2013-2014 and 2017-2018 was studied by the decoupling theory and a calculation method of matching degree based on the data sequence. The correlation degree between industrial water consumption and GDP in Xinjiang was analyzed, and the results were compared. The results show that using one method to analyze the relationship between indicators may be unreasonable, the actual situation of the region should be considered, then choose an appropriate method. Within the study period, the adaptive situation between per capita water consumption and GDP per capita is good, and the situation of 2013-2014 is the best. There is a significant spatial and temporal difference between the industrial water consumption and industrial GDP matching degree in various regions. The change in the matching degree between the average water consumption of agriculture area and the average GDP generally shows an adaptive-negative adaptation trend. Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Altay Region, and Bayingol Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture are negative adaptation between industrial added value and water consumption. The matching degree between the water consumption of the tertiary industry and the industrial GDP is fluctuant.

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郭佳航,左其亭,李东林,等.新疆水资源利用与产业发展关联研究[J].水资源保护,2021,37(2):34-42.(GUO Jiahang, ZUO Qiting, LI Donglin, et al. Research on relationship between water resources utilization and industrial development in Xinjiang[J]. Water Resources Protection,2021,37(2):34-42.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2020-06-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-03-25
  • 出版日期: 2021-03-20