新疆多时间尺度干湿变化特征分析
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P338;TV213.4

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国家自然科学基金(U1803241,51779230)


Analysis on characteristics of dry-wet variation on multi-time scale in Xinjiang
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    摘要:

    使用1963—2018年CRU TS v4.0.3逐月格点数据,通过计算新疆月、季、年不同时间尺度的标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)对干湿变化情况进行量化,并使用Mann-Kendall非参数检验、小波功率谱等方法对干湿指标的变化趋势与周期特征进行分析。结果表明:新疆在1988年前后表现出了干旱向湿润的转变;SPEI变化趋势整体以上升趋势为主,仅在新疆的西南、东南部分地区呈现出下降趋势;不同时间尺度下,小波功率谱的SPEI及其变化周期基本相同,在20世纪80—90年代均可以在2~4 a和8~16 a周期内发现振荡的高能区。

    Abstract:

    The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI)at different time scales was calculated to quantify the dry-wet variation by using the CRU TS 4.0.3 gridded data over 1963-2018. The methods such as Mann-Kendall non-parametric test and wavelet power spectrum were used to analyze the changing trend and periodic characteristics of wet and dry indexes. The results showed that Xinjiang showed a transition from drought to humid around 1988; The overall trend of change was mainly upward, only in the southwest and southeast parts of Xinjiang showed a downward trend; In different time scales, the SPEI of wavelet power spectrum and its changing period are basically the same, with strong oscillation energy regions concentrated in 2-4 a and 8-16 a in the 1980s and 1990s.

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宋玉鑫,马军霞,左其亭,等.新疆多时间尺度干湿变化特征分析[J].水资源保护,2021,37(2):43-48.(SONG Yuxin, MA Junxia, ZUO Qiting, et al. Analysis on characteristics of dry-wet variation on multi-time scale in Xinjiang[J]. Water Resources Protection,2021,37(2):43-48.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2020-06-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-03-25
  • 出版日期: 2021-03-20