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    Abstract:
    In order to improve the flood forecasting accuracy, the real-time online correction of the flood forecasting results by mining the measured water level and discharge data is used to make full use of the information contained in the measured sequences of water level and discharge. A Kalman filter correction technique is proposed based on multi-source forecast residuals. Corresponding rising difference model and autoregressive model were used to construct the multi-source error information source, and then Kalman filtering technology was used to fuse the multi-source error sequences for the real-time correction of flood forecast results. This paper selected the Qiantang River Basin of Zhejiang Province as the study area. The validation results show that the multi-source residual fusion correction technique based on Kalman filtering technology can significantly reduce the flow simulation error and the average relative error is reduced by more than 10%.
    2024,52(4):5-12, 21 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.002
    Abstract:
    Based on the three-dimensional radar mosaic data from April to June in 2016-2019 and the differences in triggering conditions, a classification for warm-sector squall lines with vastly different formation mechanisms during the pre-flood season was proposed. They were divided into two types: squall lines that developed in the warm sector after frontal triggering(Type I warm-sector squall lines), and squall lines that were generated and developed in the warm sector(Type II warm-sector squall lines). On this basis, the distributions of short-term heavy rainfall and thunderstorm winds were compared in terms of large-scale environmental conditions and mesoscale radar echo characteristics during the occurrence of squall lines. The results showed that: Type I warm-sector squall lines were mostly formed in plain areas, while Type II warm-sector squall lines were mostly generated on the windward slopes of mountains and coastlines. Both squall lines were accompanied by obvious short-term heavy precipitation, which was easy to cause rainstorm and flood; Type I warm-sector squall lines were prone to producing regional thunderstorm winds, while Type II warm zone squall lines produce scattered thunderstorm winds. The Type I warm-sector squall lines had longer lifecycle, more vigorous convective development, and a faster moving speed, while the Type II warm-sector squall lines had shorter lifecycle and a slower moving speed with weaker echo intensity. Both types of squall lines had good water vapor conditions and vertical shear conditions of low-level winds at 0-3.km, and the dynamic and thermal conditions are better when Type I warm zone squall lines occurred.
    2024,52(4):13-21 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.003
    Abstract:
    To deeply and comprehensively explore the mechanism of the risk caused by dam break accident, this study proposes a calculation method of the risk caused by dam break accident through combining the mining of historical dam break accident cases and Bayesian network. Based on a large number of historical cases of dam break accidents at home and abroad, 24Model is used to identify and extract the causes and chain of dam break accidents. The topology structure caused by dam break accident is constructed, and the probability of dam break is calculated by Bayesian forward causal reasoning, and the mechanism of dam break is analyzed by reverse diagnostic reasoning. Based on the Bayesian sensitivity analysis, the key risk factors affecting dam failure are explored. The results show that in terms of human factors, the proportion of gate control problems is high, while in terms of management factors, construction problems, operation and maintenance management defects, and design problems are important indirect causes of dam break. Flood overtopping and seepage erosion/piping are the main risk factors leading to dam failure.
    2024,52(4):22-28 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.004
    Abstract:
    A three-dimensional seepage field analysis of the dam was carried out using the finite element numerical simulation, by taking the example of a 110 m-high asphalt concrete core rockfill dam. The research focuses on investigating the influence mechanism of different depths, lengths, and positions of cracks in the bottom gallery of the concrete faceplate dam on the dam’s seepage characteristics. The simulation results reveal that superficial cracks in gallery have little effect on the seepage field of dam, while the emergence of penetrating cracks at the top of the gallery significantly alters the distribution of the nearby seepage field and substantially increases the dam’s seepage volume. On the other hand, cracks at the bottom of the gallery have a relatively minor impact on the seepage volume. In regions where the tensile stress in the gallery exceeds the concrete’s tensile strength, multiple penetrating cracks tend to concentrate, leading to a rapid surge in seepage volume. This also triggers an increase in the permeability gradient within the strataand the transitional zone Ⅰ, warranting close attention.
    2024,52(4):29-34 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.005
    Abstract:
    In order to more accurately judge the loss of hydration heat inside the mass concrete during the casting process, a formula for the prediction of temperature distribution at the worst moment between surface and interior of concretes was established by considering six influencing factors, including the concrete adiabatic temperature rise, ambient temperature, casting temperature, heat dispersion coefficient of formwork material, heat dispersion coefficient of thermal insulation material and thickness of the casting layer. A damage calculation method of hydration heat was established based on the calibrated parameter from response surface analysis method, temperature distribution and Loland damage model, and then was verified by the finite element numerical model. The results show that the hydration heat damage equation can determine whether the damage cracking will be caused by temperature gradient at any point during the casting process.
    2024,52(4):35-46 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.006
    Abstract:
    In order to investigate the underlying mechanism of ground collapse resulting from pipeline damage and soil leakage, a comprehensive analysis was conducted using the DEM-CFD method. This study considered various factors of ground collapse, including the pipeline burial depth, water pressure, and radius of damage openings, while examining two distinct working conditions, a single layer of sand and an overlying layer of clay. The obtained results reveal a clear positive correlation between the particle loss rate and the magnitude of ground settlement. The collapse process can be delineated into three distinct stages based on the particle loss rate that are particle migration, rapid loss, and gradual expansion of the settlement trough. Among the considered factors, water pressure emerged as the primary influencer of the particle loss rate. In the case of a single sandy soil layer, the particle loss rate demonstrates an increasing trend with higher water pressure, larger damage radius, and shallower burial depth. For the overlying clay layer, the duration of the particle migration phase positively correlates with the thickness of the overlying clay layer, while displaying a negative correlation with water pressure and damage opening radius.
    2024,52(4):47-55 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.007
    Abstract:
    In order to study the nonlinear hardening problem of three-dimensional complex structural materials, the consistent tangent modulus was introduced into the constitutive model considering the Von Mises plastic yield criterion and isotropic/kinematic hardening model, and the constitutive model was solved based on the scaled boundary finite element method (SBFEM) and balanced octree algorithm. The Newton Raphson iteration method was used to solve the elastic-plastic increment of displacement and stress. In order to reduce the computational complexity, the variables of the iteration process were only executed and stored at the proportional center point of the subdomain. At the same time, a solution program was developed using Fortran language. Two application examples show that the calculation results of the model have high accuracy.
    2024,52(4):56-60, 69 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.008
    Abstract:
    In order to study the influence of position change of maintenance track on aerodynamic stability of structures, a long-span suspension bridge with closed steel box girder section is taken as the research object. The vortex vibration displacement response of the structure under different positions of maintenance tracks is obtained through the segmental model wind tunnel test. The computational fluid dynamics (CFD) method is used to simulate the flow field around the section under typical working conditions, and the internal mechanism of the influence of the maintenance track position on the vortex vibration characteristics of the section is further explored. The research results show that the location of the maintenance track has obvious influence on the vertical and torsional vortex vibration of the section. When the maintenance track is located at the middle or edge, the vortex vibration stability of the section will be deteriorated. Especially when the maintenance track is located at the edge, large amplitude torsional vibration will be induced. The numerical simulation results of the flow field show that the vortex vibration is mainly caused by the wake vortex shedding, and the change of the position of the maintenance track will change the size and position of the wake vortex shedding, thus further affecting the vortex vibration stability of the section. When the relative position of the track is 0.75, the vortex near the wake and repair track is weak and the flow field stability is optimal.
    2024,52(4):61-69 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.009
    Abstract:
    Sudden water pollution accidents may seriously affect the intake of water source, and the establishment of early warning stations is very important to protect the safety of water source. The existing research has not systematically discussed the determination method of early warning stations of water source in tidal river reach. Based on the coupled mathematical model of hydrodynamic and water quality in the Chengtong tidal reach of the Yangtze River, and on the basis of clarifying the law of diffusion and transport of pollutants in the reach under the combined action of channel and tide, the location and number of early warning stations in the Changqingsha and Langshan water sources were preliminarily established. Combined with the distribution characteristics of potential pollution sources and the accumulation characteristics of pollutants affecting the water source, the early warning station was checked in space, and the early warning station was checked in time by using the timeliness of early warning response. The locations of four early warning stations upstream and downstream of the two water sources were finally determined. Based on the correlation of water quality index between warning station and water source, the emergency response scheme of water source and the risk response limit value for phenol leakage in these two water sources were determined.
    2024,52(4):70-77, 84 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.010
    Abstract:
    In order to solve the problems of the lack of design basis, low efficiency of artificial experience design and difficulty to maximize the wave dissipation of new multi-stage platform of ecological seawall, a three-dimensional mathematical model coupled with the high-precision capture algorithm of water-gas interface was built. Then, this model was used to study the wave dissipation characteristics and wave overtopping calculation of multi-stage platform of ecological seawall. Considering the overtopping laws of wave under different combinations of dike structure (step width, step height and dike height), a formula for calculating the wave overtopping of multi-stage platform of ecological seawall is put forward. The results show that with the gradual elevation of multi-stage platforms, the thickness of overlying water on the breakwater becomes smaller, resulting in the energy dissipation of continuous breaking of waves. At the same time, the multi-stage platforms block the propagation of shallow waves by stages, forcing the waves to reflect step by step and attenuate. The width and height of the multi-stage platform jointly control the overtopping of the breakwater. It is found that the longitudinal height and transverse width of the multi-stage platform have a quantitative exchange relationship under the same overtopping situation.
    2024,52(4):78-84 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.011
    Abstract:
    This study focuses on the muddy-coastal headland bay beaches in Zhejiang Province, identifies the primary factors influencing the position of the sand-mud boundary, and analyses the transition mechanism. A depth formula of the sand-mud boundary point in headland bay beaches is proposed. The results show that: the tide level, wave height, beach slope and spring mean tide range in front of the beach are the main factors affecting the location of sand-mud boundary; the depth of sand-mud boundary is positively correlated with the 1/10 wave height in front of the beach and the spring mean tide range, and negatively correlated with the slope of the beach; the position of the sand-mud boundary exhibits seasonal and inter-annual variations. During summer, the sand-mud boundary tends to shift seaward and decrease in elevation, while in winter, it moves landward. Notably, in 2020, compared to 2019, the sand-mud boundary showed a clear trend of seaward migration and a decrease in elevation.
    2024,52(4):85-94 DOI: 10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.04.012
    Abstract:
    In order to explore the potential applications of nanofluidic materials in attenuating the dynamic response of pile-supported wharves and reducing their damages, this work built a two-dimensional finite element model of a pile-supported wharf with dampers using the open-source finite element platform OpenSees. The study compared the effects of conventional viscous dampers and nanofluidic dampers on the seismic performance of the pile-supported wharf. Results show that nanofluidic dampers have a better ability to limit the lateral deformation on the top of the piles than viscous dampers and are more effective than viscous dampers in reducing the curvature on the top of the land-side piles. The energy dissipation of pile top with nanofluidic dampers is lower than that of pile top with viscous dampers.

      Journal information


      • Competent unit:

        Ministry of Education, P. R.China

      • Organizers:

        Hohai University

      • Editor-in-chief:

        TANG Hongwu

      • Address:

        1 Xikang Road, Nanjing 210098, P.R. China

      • Postcode:

        210098

      • Phone:

        86-25-83786343

      • Email:

        xb@hhu.edu.cn

      • CN:

        32-1117/TV

      • ISSN:

        1000-1980

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