基于EnKF法的径流数据同化对SWAT模型参数优化效果评估
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TU122

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国家重点研发计划(2018YFE0105900);江苏省科技计划青年项目(BK20191097);国家自然科学基金(41901049)


Evaluation of the optimization effect of streamflow data assimilation on SWAT model parameters based on the EnKF approach
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    摘要:

    基于集合卡尔曼滤波(EnKF)法,在合理量化模型模拟和径流观测误差、有效处理模型参数演变及过拟合问题的基础上,以淮河上游淮滨水文站以上流域为研究区,构建了基于径流数据同化的SWAT分布式水文模型参数优化方案,就站点实测径流数据同化对模型参数的优化效果进行了评估。结果显示,数据同化过程中,被更新的模型参数集合逐渐收敛并趋于稳定,基于稳定后的参数获得的模拟径流与实测径流过程接近,流域出口径流模拟的纳什效率系数可达0.88,说明基于EnKF法的径流数据同化对SWAT模型参数具有一定的优化估计能力,且采用数据同化方式进行模型参数率定具有一定的可行性。

    Abstract:

    In this study, a hydrological model parameter optimization scheme was constructed in SWAT based on streamflow assimilation using the ensemble Kalman filter(EnKF)approach, in which the model simulation and streamflow observation errors were reasonably quantified and the model parameter evolution and over-fitting issues were effectively treated. Based on this scheme, the capacity of streamflow assimilation on SWAT model parameter optimization was evaluated in the upper Huai River above Huaibin hydrological station. The results showed that the updated parameter ensemble gradually converged and stabilized during the data assimilation process. The runoff process based on the stabilized parameter ensemble was close to the measured runoff. The deterministic coefficient at the outlet of the basin reached 0. 88. The results indicated that the EnKF based streamflow assimilation had the ability to optimize the parameters in SWAT. It was feasible to calibrate model parameters using data assimilation method.

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刘永伟,王文,刘元波,等.基于EnKF法的径流数据同化对SWAT模型参数优化效果评估[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2022,50(2):1-10.(LIU Yongwei, WANG Wen, LIU Yuanbo, et al. Evaluation of the optimization effect of streamflow data assimilation on SWAT model parameters based on the EnKF approach[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2022,50(2):1-10.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-29
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