长江流域再分析与卫星反演降水数据的适用性分析
作者:
作者单位:

(1.南京林业大学土木工程学院,江苏 南京210037;2.河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京210098;3.南京师范大学虚拟地理环境教育部重点实验室,江苏 南京210095 )

作者简介:

沈哲辉(1991—),男,讲师,博士,主要从事卫星遥感降水研究。E-mail:shenzhehui@njfu.edu.cn

中图分类号:

P332

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(42301385);“一带一路”水与可持续发展科技基金项目(2023491211)


Analysis of the applicability of reanalysis and satellite-derived precipitation data in the Yangtze River Basin
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.College of Civil Engineering, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China;2.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;3.Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment, Ministry of Education, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210095, China )

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    摘要:

    为评估再分析和卫星反演降水数据在长江流域的适用性,以气象站点观测数据为地面参考,采用相关系数、均方根误差、相对偏差、命中率、误报率、关键成功率等评价指标,在日尺度上比较了再分析降水数据ERA5-Land和卫星反演降水数据IMERG-Final在长江流域的适用性。结果表明:相比IMERG-Final,ERA5-Land在长江上游高原地形区的适用性较差,主要表现为对降水强度的严重高估及较高的误报率;在长江中下游地区,ERA5-Land和IMERG-Final具有各自的优势和缺点,虽然ERA5-Land对降水事件的综合捕捉能力总体上强于IMERG-Final,但其对降水强度的模拟能力弱于IMERG-Final;在冬季ERA5-Land对降水事件的探测能力显著强于IMERG-Final,且与地面气象站点观测值的相关程度也高于IMERG-Final;IMERG-Final在夏季的精度则远高于ERA5-Land,表明在降水强度高的季节,卫星反演方法对降水的估算比气象模式再分析方法更加可靠。

    Abstract:

    To evaluate the applicability of reanalysis and satellite-derived precipitation data in the Yangtze River Basin, ground-based meteorological station observations were used as a reference. This study employed evaluation metrics such as correlation coefficient, root mean square error, relative bias, probability of detection, false alarm rate, and critical success index to compare the daily-scale applicability of ERA5-Land reanalysis precipitation data and IMERG-Final satellite-derived precipitation data in the region. The results indicate that compared to IMERG-Final, ERA5-Land performs poorly in the upstream plateau areas of the Yangtze River Basin, primarily due to significant overestimation of precipitation intensity and a higher false alarm rate. In the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin, both ERA5-Land and IMERG-Final have their respective strengths and weaknesses. While ERA5-Land generally exhibits superior overall capability in capturing precipitation events, its ability to simulate precipitation intensity is weaker than that of IMERG-Final. During winter, ERA5-Land significantly outperforms IMERG-Final in detecting precipitation events and shows stronger correlation with ground-based meteorological observations. Conversely, IMERG-Final demonstrates much higher accuracy than ERA5-Land in summer, indicating that satellite-derived methods are more reliable than reanalysis-based methods for estimating precipitation during seasons with higher precipitation intensity.

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沈哲辉,韩静妍,桂敬聪,等.长江流域再分析与卫星反演降水数据的适用性分析[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2025,53(1):50-61.(SHEN Zhehui, HAN Jingyan, GUI Jingcong, et al. Analysis of the applicability of reanalysis and satellite-derived precipitation data in the Yangtze River Basin[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2025,53(1):50-61.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-04-08
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-01-22