基于GRACE降尺度分析的江西省山丘区地下水储存量变化时空演变规律
作者:
作者单位:

(1.江西省地质调查勘查院地质环境监测所,江西 南昌 330006;2.河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京210098 )

作者简介:

何景媛(1985—),女,高级工程师,主要从事地下水环境监测及调查评价研究。E-mail:345129453@qq.com

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中图分类号:

P641.8

基金项目:

江西省水资源基础调查项目(赣自然资办函〔2024〕362号);江西省技术创新引导类计划“科技+地质”联合计划项目(2023KDG01008,2023KDG01009);国家自然科学基金面上项目(524032711)


Spatiotemporal evolution patterns of groundwater storage variations in hilly area of Jiangxi Province based on downscaling analysis of GRACE data
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.Geological Environment Monitoring Institute of Jiangxi Geological Survey and Exploration Institute, Nanchang 330006, China;2.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China )

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    摘要:

    为研究江西省山丘区地下水储存量变化的时空特征,基于2003—2023年GRACE/GRACE-FO卫星反演数据,构建了集降尺度重建与趋势识别于一体的地下水时空演变分析框架,揭示了地下水储存量异常(GWSA)数据的变化格局。通过深度学习模型对GWSA进行高分辨率重建,应用STL分解提取长期趋势分量,结合Mann-Kendall检验与Theil-Sen斜率估算法识别地下水变化趋势及其显著性。结果表明:重建后的高分辨率GWSA数据清晰地揭示了江西山丘区地下水储存量的时空演变特征;经STL分解,序列表现出显著的长期趋势和稳定的季节波动,2003—2023年全省地下水整体缓慢上升,长期趋势整体呈“东北—中部恢复、南部持续亏损”的演变格局,南部赣州市减储显著,是典型亏损区;地下水变化呈现出区域差异性、阶段性演变及高频异常增强的复合特征,反映出系统尚未稳定,仍处于易亏的临界状态。

    Abstract:

    To study the spatiotemporal characteristics of groundwater storage changes in the hilly areas of Jiangxi Province, based on the gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE)/GRACE-FO satellite inversion data from 2003 to 2023, a spatiotemporal evolution analysis framework of groundwater integrating downscaling reconstruction and trend identification was constructed, revealing the pattern of changes in groundwater storage anomalies (GWSA). The high-resolution reconstruction of GWSA was carried out through a deep learning model. The long-term trend component was extracted using seasonal-trend decomposition using LOESS (STL). The groundwater change trend and its significance were identified by combining the Mann-Kendall test and the Theil-Sen slope estimation method. The results show that the reconstructed high-resolution GWSA data clearly reveal the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of groundwater storage in the hilly areas of Jiangxi Province; after STL, the sequence shows a significant long-term trend and stable seasonal fluctuations. From 2003 to 2023, the groundwater level in the entire province has risen slowly, and the overall long-term trend shows an evolution pattern of “recovery in northeastern and central regions but continuous depletion in southern regions”. Notably, Ganzhou City in southern Jiangxi exhibits a significant decline in groundwater storage, making it a representative groundwater-deficit zone. Groundwater variations exhibit compound characteristics, including regional disparities, phased evolution, and intensified high-frequency anomalies, indicating that the system remains unstable and is in a critical state vulnerable to further depletion.

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引用本文

何景媛,肖墁华,游建飞,等.基于GRACE降尺度分析的江西省山丘区地下水储存量变化时空演变规律[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2025,53(6):21-32.(HE Jingyuan, XIAO Manhua, YOU Jianfei, et al. Spatiotemporal evolution patterns of groundwater storage variations in hilly area of Jiangxi Province based on downscaling analysis of GRACE data[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2025,53(6):21-32.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2025-07-01
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-09
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