基于CNN-Transformer-ARG的双护盾TBM掘进速度预测模型
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刘永胜(1980—),男,正高级工程师,博士,主要从事隧道及地下工程技术创新研究。E-mail:249674805@qq.com

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河南省科技攻关项目(242102220037);盾构及掘进技术国家重点实验室开放课题项目(SKLST-2024-01)


Prediction model of tunneling speed for double-shield TBM based on CNN-Transformer-ARG
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    摘要:

    为准确预测双护盾TBM掘进速度,提出了一种结合CNN、Transformer以及自适应残差门控(ARG)机制的智能预测模型。该模型通过双层卷积模块提取不同视角下掘进参数的局部特征,通过Transformer捕捉掘进参数的全局特征,并引入ARG机制动态加权所提取的局部和全局特征,基于历史掘进段监测数据预测未来掘进段的掘进速度均值、最大值和最小值。采用四川某山地轨道交通项目提取的927组掘进数据对模型进行了验证,结果表明:模型预测的均方误差、平均绝对误差、均方根误差和决定系数分别为0.07、0.21、0.26和0.86,均优于3个对比模型;模型提取的多源特征经过权重分配关注重点信息后提升了预测结果的精度,验证了ARG机制对于多源模型的有效性,可为类似结构模型多源特征数据流的处理提供参考。

    Abstract:

    An intelligent prediction model integrating convolutional neural networks (CNN), Transformer, and an adaptive residual gating (ARG) mechanism was proposed, so as to accurately predict the tunneling speed of double-shield tunnel boring machines (TBMs). The model utilized a dual-layer CNN to extract local features of tunneling parameters from different perspectives, employed a Transformer to capture global features among these parameters, and incorporated the ARG mechanism to dynamically weight the extracted local and global features. Based on the monitoring data from historical tunneling segments, the mean, maximum, and minimum tunneling speeds of future tunneling segments were predicted. The model was validated using 927 sets of tunneling data extracted from a mountain rail transit project in Sichuan Province. The results indicate that the model achieves a mean square error of 0.07, a mean absolute error of 0.21, a root mean square error of 0.26, and a coefficient of determination of 0.86, all outperforming the other three comparative models. By assigning weights to the multi-source features extracted by the model, key information is emphasized, thereby improving prediction accuracy. This validates the effectiveness of the ARG mechanism in multi-source models and provides insights for similar structured models.

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刘永胜,沈军宏,李达,等.基于CNN-Transformer-ARG的双护盾TBM掘进速度预测模型[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2026,54(1):112-118, 176.(Liu Yongsheng, Shen Junhong, Li Da, et al. Prediction model of tunneling speed for double-shield TBM based on CNN-Transformer-ARG[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2026,54(1):112-118, 176.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2025-07-02
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-29
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