协同MIKE11-KF的遥感河道流量数据同化
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(1.河海大学农业科学与工程学院;2.西安理工大学旱区水工程生态环境全国重点实验室;3.曲周县水利局河长制办公室;4.北京师范大学水科学研究院 )

作者简介:

李宾(1999—),男,博士研究生,主要从事水文水资源研究。Email:libin199902@163.com

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国家自然科学基金面上项目(52279004,52379008)


Remote sensing river discharge data assimilation with MIKE11-KF
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(1.College of Agricultural Science and Engineering, Hohai University;2.StateKey Laboratory of Water Engineering Ecology and Environment in Arid Area, Xi’an University of Technology;3.QuzhouCounty Water Resources Bureau River Chief System Office;4.Collegeof Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University )

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    摘要:

    为提高无资料中小河流流量的模拟精度,通过卫星影像(Sentinel系列及高分影像)反演河道水面宽度并估算初步流量,将其作为流量观测值,与MIKE11模型模拟的流量数据利用卡尔曼滤波算法进行同化,将同化后的流量结果作为MIKE11模型的更新输入,形成闭环迭代,从而持续修正MIKE11模型误差,提高模拟精度。曲周县黄口闸段的验证结果表明,卡尔曼滤波算法数据同化后MIKE11模型模拟流量的 R 2为0.820,纳什效率系数NSE为0.813,相对均方根误差RRMSE为0.260,较同化前 R2 提高了28.1%,NSE提升了27.0%,RRMSE降低了43.5%,有效提高了河道流量模拟精度。

    Abstract:

    To improve the simulation accuracy of flow in ungauged small and medium rivers, river surface widths were inverted, and preliminary discharges were estimated using satellite imagery (Sentinel series and high-resolution images). These estimated values were then used as observed flow data and assimilated with the flow data simulated by the MIKE11 model using the Kalman filter algorithm. The assimilated flow results were fed back as updated inputs to the MIKE11 model, forming a closed-loop iteration that continuously corrected model errors and enhanced simulation accuracy. Validation results from the Huangkou Gate section in Quzhou County show that after data assimilation with the Kalman filter algorithm, the MIKE11 model achieves an R 2 of 0.820, an NSE of 0.813, and an RRMSE of 0.260 for simulated flow. Compared to pre-assimilation results, R 2 increases by 28.1%, NSE improves by 27.0%, and RRMSE decreases by 43.5%, demonstrating effective improvement in river discharge simulation accuracy.

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李宾,栾清华,李涛,等.协同MIKE11-KF的遥感河道流量数据同化[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2026,54(2):18-27.(Li Bin, Luan Qinghua, Li Tao, et al. Remote sensing river discharge data assimilation with MIKE11-KF[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2026,54(2):18-27.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-04
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