梯级水库拦沙条件下水库排沙比公式修正
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(1.长江科学院河流研究所;2.水利部长江重点实验室)

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张国帅 (1995—),男,工程师,博士,主要从事水利枢纽泥沙治理研究。E-mail:18514430909@163.com

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中央公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金项目(CKSF2026340/HL);国家自然科学基金项目(52595702,52479058)


Correction of sediment discharge ratio formula for cascade reservoirs under sediment interception conditions
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(1.RiverResearch Department of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute;2.KeyLaboratory of Changjiang River of Ministry of Water Resources )

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    摘要:

    为解决梯级水库长期运行中因有效库容持续衰减、入库水沙条件显著改变而导致排沙比经验公式计算精度偏低的问题,通过设计金沙江下游梯级水库未来100 a的区间来水来沙过程,分别采用一维水沙模型、水库排沙比Siyami经验公式计算梯级水库排沙比,分析了两种方法计算梯级水库排沙比结果的量化关系,并对水库排沙比Siyami经验公式进行了修正。结果表明:一维水沙模型计算排沙比的波动性大于Siyami经验公式的计算结果,并且随着梯级水库运行时间增加,一维水沙模型计算排沙比的增长速率明显大于Siyami经验公式的计算结果;修正的Siyami经验公式在乌东德水库、白鹤滩水库、溪洛渡水库、向家坝水库的拟合优度 R 2分别为0.95、0.96、0.87、0.86,说明修正公式精度较高。

    Abstract:

    To address the problem of low accuracy in empirical sediment discharge ratio formulas caused by the continuous decline in effective reservoir capacity and significant changes in inflow water and sediment conditions during long-term operation of cascade reservoirs, the inflow water and sediment processes in the cascade reservoirs of the lower reaches of the Jinsha River over the next 100 years were designed. The sediment discharge ratios of the cascade reservoirs were calculated using both a one-dimensional water-sediment model and the Siyami empirical formula for sediment discharge ratio. The quantitative relationship between the results obtained by the two methods was analyzed, and the Siyami empirical formula for sediment discharge ratio was subsequently corrected. The results show that the sediment discharge ratio calculated by the one-dimensional water-sediment model exhibits greater volatility than that calculated by the Siyami empirical formula. Moreover, as the operation time of the cascade reservoirs increases, the growth rate of the sediment discharge ratio calculated by the one-dimensional water-sediment model is significantly higher than that calculated by the Siyami empirical formula. The coefficient of determination of the corrected Siyami empirical formula for the Wudongde, Baihetan, Xiluodu, and Xiangjiaba reservoirs is 0.95, 0.96, 0.87, and 0.86, respectively, indicating that the corrected formula has high accuracy.

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张国帅,金中武,李志晶,等.梯级水库拦沙条件下水库排沙比公式修正[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2026,54(3):70-77.(Zhang Guoshuai, Jin Zhongwu, Li Zhijing, et al. Correction of sediment discharge ratio formula for cascade reservoirs under sediment interception conditions[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2026,54(3):70-77.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-18
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-28
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