基于物理信息与符号回归耦合约束的桥墩局部冲刷深度预测模型
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(1.河海大学水利水电学院;2.河海大学苏州高等研究院;3.宁波市杭州湾大桥发展有限公司;4.浙江省水利河口研究院(浙江省海洋规划设计研究院) )

作者简介:

耿兴乐(2002—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事水沙冲刷智能化建模研究。Email:gxl123993121@outlook.com

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Prediction model for local scour depth around bridge piers based on coupled physics-informed and symbolic regression constraints
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(1.Collegeof Water Conservancy & Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University;2.SuzhouInstitute for Advanced Research of Hohai University;3.NingboHangzhou Bay Bridge Development Co.,Ltd.;4.ZhejiangInstitute of Hydraulics & Estuary (Zhejiang Institute of Marine Planning and Design) )

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    摘要:

    针对桥墩局部冲刷深度预测经验公式结果偏保守、纯数据驱动模型缺乏物理机制引导的问题,通过在标准多层感知机框架中引入HEC-18式与Melville冲刷公式作为物理约束,以符号回归算法从数据中提取的显式方程作为附加约束,同时在损失函数中集成数据损失、物理损失与符号回归损失,构建了物理信息与符号回归耦合约束的多层感知机(PSI-MLP)模型。以极限梯度提升、支持向量机和纯数据驱动的多层感知机模型为基准对比模型,从预测精度、模型可解释性、物理一致性多个维度,对比分析了PSI-MLP模型与各基准对比模型的性能差异,同时基于56组工程实测数据分析了PSI-MLP模型在实际工程场景中跨尺度的外推和泛化能力。结果表明:PSI-MLP模型在测试集上的均方根误差、决定系数和克林-古普塔效率系数分别为0.234、0.88和0.928,相较各基准对比模型,均方根误差最大减小了34.8%,决定系数、克林-古普塔效率系数最大提高了16.4%和25.9%;PSI-MLP模型决策逻辑与水动力学理论吻合;PSI-MLP模型在71.4%的工况下相对误差小于25%,优于传统经验公式与基准对比模型;物理信息与符号回归的耦合约束机制能提升模型在复杂工程尺度外推条件下的适应性与预测稳定性。

    Abstract:

    To address the overly conservative predictions of empirical formulas and the lack of physical mechanism guidance in purely data-driven models for predicting the local scour depth around bridge piers, a multilayer perceptron (PSI-MLP) model based on coupled physics-informed and symbolic regression constraints was developed. In the PSI-MLP model, the HEC-18 equation and the Melville scour formula were introduced into the standard multilayer perceptron framework as physical constraints, explicit equations extracted from data by the symbolic regression algorithm were combined as additional constraints,and the loss function integrates data loss, physical loss, and symbolic regression. With extreme gradient boosting, support vector machine, and purely data-driven multilayer perceptron models as benchmark models, the performance differences between the PSI-MLP model and each benchmark model were comparatively analyzed from multiple dimensions of prediction accuracy, model interpretability, and physical consistency. Meanwhile, based on 56 groups of field-measured engineering data, the cross-scale extrapolation and generalization abilities of the PSI-MLP model in practical engineering scenarios were analyzed. The results show that the root mean square error, coefficient of determination, and Kling-Gupta efficiency coefficient of the PSI-MLP model on the test set are 0.234, 0.88, and 0.928, respectively. Compared with the benchmark models, the root mean square error decreases by up to 34.8%, and the coefficient of determination and Kling-Gupta efficiency coefficient increase by up to 16.4% and 25.9%, respectively. The decision logic of the PSI-MLP model is consistent with hydrodynamic theories. The relative error of the PSI-MLP model is less than 25% under 71.4% of the working conditions, which is superior to the traditional empirical formulas and benchmark models. The coupled constraint mechanism of physical information and symbolic regression can improve the adaptability and prediction stability of the model under complex engineering-scale extrapolation conditions.

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耿兴乐,陈红,王金权,等.基于物理信息与符号回归耦合约束的桥墩局部冲刷深度预测模型[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2026,54(4):151-160.(Geng Xingle, Chen Hong, Wang Jinquan, et al. Prediction model for local scour depth around bridge piers based on coupled physics-informed and symbolic regression constraints[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2026,54(4):151-160.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-19
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-20
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