基于多源融合降水的WRF-Hydro模型在中小河流径流模拟的适用性评估
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河海大学水文水资源学院;2.中国气象局水文气象重点开放实验室;3.河北省水文勘测研究中心;4.水利部信息中心(水文水资源监测预报中心);5.湖北长江中星科技有限公司;6.安徽省水文局 )

作者简介:

李振鑫(2001—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事水文预报研究。E-mail:lzx190322@163.com

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中图分类号:

P338

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFC3211400);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(B240203007);水利部重大科技项目(SKS-2022136);河北省省级水利科技计划项目(2025-18)


Applicability evaluation of WRF-Hydro model based on multi-source merged precipitation for runoff simulation in small and medium-sized rivers
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University;2.Key Laboratory of Hydro-Meteorology China Meteorological Administration;3.Hydrological Survey and Research Center of Hebei Province;4.Information Center, Ministry of Water Resources (Hydrology Monitor and Forecast Center);5.Hubei Yangtze River Zhongxing Technology Co., Ltd.;6.Anhui Provincial Bureau of Hydrology )

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    摘要:

    为了满足水文模型对高精度降水数据的需要,以湿润的屯溪流域与半湿润的紫荆关流域为研究区域,构建了基于外部漂移克里金法的多源降水融合算法,融合雨量站实测数据与IMERG卫星降水数据,生成高精度、高时空分辨率的融合降水数据,并以该融合降水数据驱动WRF-Hydro水文模型,对研究区域进行径流模拟,评估其在中小河流洪水预报中的适用性。结果表明:以雨量站实测数据为基准,卫星降水数据在紫荆关流域存在严重低估降水强度现象,融合降水数据的各评价指标优于原始IMERG卫星降水数据;融合降水数据驱动WRF-Hydro模型比IMERG卫星降水数据能更好地模拟洪水过程,且模型在湿润流域的适用性强于半湿润流域。

    Abstract:

    To meet the needs of hydrological models for high-precision precipitation data, with the humid Tunxi Basin and the semi-humid Zijingguan Basin as the study areas, a multi-source precipitation merging algorithm based on external drift kriging was constructed to merge the measured precipitation data at stations and the IMERG satellite precipitation data, generating merged precipitation data with high precision and high spatiotemporal resolution. The WRF-Hydro hydrological model was driven by the merged precipitation data to conduct runoff simulations in the study areas, and its applicability in flood forecasting for small and medium-sized rivers was evaluated. The results show that taking the measured precipitation data at stations as the benchmark, the satellite precipitation data exhibits a serious underestimation of precipitation intensity in the Zijingguan Basin, and the evaluation indicators of the merged precipitation data are better than those of the original IMERG satellite precipitation data. Furthermore, the WRF-Hydro model driven by the merged precipitation data can better simulate the flood process than that driven by the IMERG satellite precipitation data, and the model shows stronger applicability in the humid basin than in the semi-humid basin.

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引用本文

李振鑫,姚成,杨丰源,等.基于多源融合降水的WRF-Hydro模型在中小河流径流模拟的适用性评估[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2026,54(5):29-38, 172.(Li Zhenxin, Yao Cheng, Yang Fengyuan, et al. Applicability evaluation of WRF-Hydro model based on multi-source merged precipitation for runoff simulation in small and medium-sized rivers[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2026,54(5):29-38, 172.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2025-08-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-09
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