基于超快速星历的数值天气预报可行性研究
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国家自然科学基金(41274017);江苏省科技支撑计划(BE2010316)


Study on feasibility of numerical weather forecasting using ultra-rapid ephemeris
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    摘要:

    为实时获取高时空分辨率的大气水汽场,基于地基GPS遥感大气水汽原理,结合香港CORS网的实测数据进行处理,根据大气可降水量(PWV)解算过程中超快速星历预报部分的时间跨度不同,设计了3个方案,并比较了各方案中最终精密星历、超快速星历和探空资料解算得到的PWV序列。结果表明,利用超快速星历估计PWV与最终精密星历结果一致,其精度满足气象预报等实时业务的要求。

    Abstract:

    In order to obtain a real-time atmospheric water vapor field of high temporal and spatial resolution, based on the principle of remote sensing of atmospheric precipitable water vapor(PWV)using a ground-based GPS, the observed data at certain stations in the Hong Kong CORS network were processed. According to the different time spans in calculating PWV with ultra-rapid ephemeris, three schemes were designed. In each scheme, PWV data calculated with final precise ephemeris, ultra-rapid ephemeris, and radiosonde data were compared. The results show that the predicted PWV data of the ultra-rapid ephemeris agree with those of the final precise ephemeris, and its accuracy satisfies the requirements of real-time service, such as weather forecasting.

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王俊杰,何秀凤.基于超快速星历的数值天气预报可行性研究[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2015,43(3):267-270.(WANG Junjie, HE Xiufeng. Study on feasibility of numerical weather forecasting using ultra-rapid ephemeris[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2015,43(3):267-270.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2014-06-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-06-01
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