基于Copula函数的暴雨潮位组合分析
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

TV122+3

基金项目:

中国工程院重大咨询研究项目(2015-ZD-07);国家自然科学基金(41471015)


Combined analysis of rainstorm and tide level based on Copula function
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    基于1959—2010年滁河中下游暴雨资料及南京下关站潮位资料,采用Copula函数建立不同重现期下滁河中下游年最大1 d、3 d、7 d暴雨与其相应时间段长江最高潮位的联合分布函数,计算超过某一设计值的暴雨与各个量级潮位、超过某一设计值的潮位与各个量级雨量的遭遇概率。计算结果与南京市城市防洪规划中的结论相近,表明计算方法合理可行,可为暴雨潮位组合计算提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Based on the rainstorm data from the middle and lower reaches of the Chuhe River in the period from 1959 to 2010 and the tide level data at Xiaguan Station in Nanjing City, a joint distribution function of the annual maximum 1-day, 3-day, and 7-day rainstorms and the corresponding tide levels of the Yangtze River with different return periods was built based on the Copula function. The encounter probabilities of the design rainstorm and different tide level intervals and the encounter probabilities of the design tide level and different rainstorm intervals were calculated. The results are similar to conclusions in the Nanjing Urban Flood Control Planning, indicating that the calculation method is reasonable and feasible and can provide a reference for combined calculation of rainstorm and tide level.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

万永静,刁秀媚,刘俊,等.基于Copula函数的暴雨潮位组合分析[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2017,45(3):211-217.(WAN Yongjing, DIAO Xiumei, LIU Jun, et al. Combined analysis of rainstorm and tide level based on Copula function[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2017,45(3):211-217.(in Chinese))

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2016-07-01
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2017-06-01
  • 出版日期: