影响长江口深水航道骤淤的非常态天气过程Ⅰ:台风的路径特征及数值验证
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TV148;P732

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国家自然科学基金青年基金(41206072);2016年港口航道泥沙交通行业重点实验室开放基金(Yn216001)


The extraordinary weather process inducing sudden siltation in deepwater navigation channel of Yangtze Estuary I:the typhoon path characteristics and numerical verification
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    摘要:

    为归纳长江口深水航道台风期骤淤的发生规律及特征,分析了发生骤淤时刻的气象条件与对应的波浪条件。研究发现,牛皮礁站的波能与骤淤具有较好的相关性;从台风路径上分析,长江口东侧过境台风对航道的骤淤影响显著。结合历史台风路径,选取3个典型路径的台风,选择藤田-高桥圆形经验风场和CFSR(climate forecast system reanalysis)风场的混合风场复演了台风场,然后采用SWAN模型模拟了不同路径台风期间的波况,最后以牛皮礁站的浅水波能流为判别参数,分析不同路径台风对长江口深水航道骤淤的影响。研究表明长江口东侧过境的台风是较易产生较大波能并进一步诱发骤淤的典型台风路径,这一分析结果与2010年以来的骤淤实测台风路径结果吻合。

    Abstract:

    To summarize the occurrence regularity and characteristics of sudden siltation during typhoon period in the deepwater navigation channel of Yangtze Estuary, the meteorological conditions and corresponding wave conditions during sudden siltation are analyzed. The results show that the wave energy correlates well with the siltation in NPJ station. The analysis of typhoon paths suggests that the sudden siltation in the navigation channel is significantly influenced by the taphoon passing through the east part of Yangtze Estuary. In this study, three typical typhoon paths are selected with reference to the historic typhoon paths in Yangtze Estuary, and the typhoon field was replicated by combing the empirical circular(Fujita and Takahashi)wind field and CFSR(climate forecast system reanalysis)wind field. SWAN model is then used to simulate the wave conditions under different typhoons paths. Finally, the effects of different typhoon paths on the sudden siltation are analyzed by taking the shallow water wave energy in NPJ station as the discriminant parameter. The study indicates that the typhoon passing through the east area of the Yangtze Estuary is found to be a typical typhoon path, which can readily induce relatively large wave energy and subsequent sudden siltation. And such analysis result agrees well with that of measured typhoon path causing sudden siltation since 2010.

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黄华聪,贾晓,路川藤.影响长江口深水航道骤淤的非常态天气过程Ⅰ:台风的路径特征及数值验证[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2017,45(5):432-438.(HUANG Huacong, JIA Xiao, LU Chuanteng. The extraordinary weather process inducing sudden siltation in deepwater navigation channel of Yangtze Estuary I:the typhoon path characteristics and numerical verification[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2017,45(5):432-438.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2016-07-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-09-28
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