考虑风险因素影响的引水隧洞施工方案优选
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国家自然科学基金(51679165);国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0401806);国家自然科学基金创新研究群体项目(51621092)


Construction scheme optimization of diversion tunnel considering influence of risk factors
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    摘要:

    为了综合考虑活动时间随机变化、施工机械故障以及塌方、涌水等风险对引水隧洞施工方案优选的影响,实现施工方案的合理选择,提出考虑风险因素影响的引水隧洞施工方案优选方法。该方法建立考虑风险因素影响的隧洞施工方案优化模型;采用Levy飞行自适应混沌粒子群(LFACPSO)优化算法来求解优化模型以获得Pareto方案集,该算法引入Levy飞行来提高粒子跳出局部最优的能力,同时采用混沌算法来初始化粒子,并自适应地调整粒子惯性权重系数;采用直觉模糊熵权幂平均(IFEWPA)方法,在考虑专家评价犹豫度的条件下从待选方案集中优选出最终方案。工程实例应用表明,相比不考虑风险影响的施工方案仿真进度和计划进度,综合考虑风险因素影响的仿真进度更贴近工程实际,证明了考虑风险因素影响的引水隧洞施工方案优选方法的有效性;与自适应混沌粒子群(ACPSO)算法、粒子群优化(PSO)算法和带精英策略的非支配排序遗传(NSGA-Ⅱ)算法相比,LFACPSO算法所得的Pareto优化方案数量平均值最大,标准差最小,表明了LFACPSO算法的优越性与鲁棒性。

    Abstract:

    To comprehensively consider the influence of activity time randomness, machinery failure, collapse, water inflow and other risks on the construction scheme optimization of a diversion tunnel, and realize a reasonable selection of the construction scheme, the construction scheme optimization method of diversion tunnel is proposed considering the influence of risk factors. To begin with, the optimization model of construction scheme considering risk factors is established. In addition, an Levy flight adaptive chaos particle swarm optimization(LFACPSO)algorithm is proposed to solve the model for obtaining the Pareto scheme set. In this algorithm, the Levy flight is adopted to improve particles’ ability of jumping out of the local optimum, then the chaos algorithm is used to initialize particles, and the inertia weight coefficient is adjusted adaptively. Finally, the IFEWPA method is used to select the final scheme considering the experts’ hesitation degree from alternative scheme set. The application shows that, compared with construction scheme simulation schedule neglecting risk factors and planned schedule, the simulation schedule considering risk factors is closer to the actual schedule, which proves the effectiveness of the construction scheme optimization method considering risk factors. Furthermore, LFACPSO algorithm is compared with ACPSO, PSO and NSGA-Ⅱ algorithms, and the results prove the superiority and robustness of LFACPSO algorithm, with the maximum mean value and the minimum standard deviation.

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余佳,焦铮,苏哲,等.考虑风险因素影响的引水隧洞施工方案优选[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2021,49(2):155-161.(YU Jia, JIAO Zheng, SU Zhe, et al. Construction scheme optimization of diversion tunnel considering influence of risk factors[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),2021,49(2):155-161.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-04-12
  • 出版日期: 2021-03-25