基于WDO-PP模型的文山州近10年水资源承载力评价
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TV213.4

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Evaluation of carrying capacity of water resources of Wenshan Prefecture in latest 10 years based on WDO-PP model
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    摘要:

    利用6个典型测试函数对新型优化算法——风力驱动优化(WDO)算法进行仿真验证,将仿真结果与布谷鸟搜索(CS)算法、差分进化(DE)算法、混合蛙跳算法(SFLA)、 粒子群优化(PSO)算法、蚁群优化(ACO)算法、帝国竞争算法(ICA)和模拟退火算法(SA)的寻优结果进行比较。选取水资源开发利用率、降水量等10个评价指标,运用风力驱动投影寻踪(WDO-PP)模型计算文山州2006—2015年的水资源承载力,并对其变化趋势及规划水平年2020年、2030年水资源承载力进行预测及评价分析。结果表明:(1)无论是单峰还是多峰函数,WDO算法寻优效果远优于CS、DE、SFLA、PSO、ACO、ICA和SA算法,具有较好的寻优精度、收敛速度、极值寻优能力以及收敛稳定性与可靠性。(2)文山州2006—2014年水资源承载力评价结果均为基本可承载(Ⅲ级),2015年评价结果为可承载(Ⅱ级)。水资源承载力随时间呈提升趋势,且提升趋势显著。规划水平年2020年、2030年水资源承载力预测评价结果分别为可承载(Ⅱ级)和绝对可承载(Ⅰ级)。

    Abstract:

    The new optimization algorithm, wind-driven optimization(WDO)algorithm, is simulated and verified by using six typical test functions. The simulated results are compared with the optimization ones by the cuckoo search(CS)algorithm, differential evolution(DE)algorithm, shuffled frog leaping algorithm(SFLA), particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithm, ant colony optimization(ACO)algorithm, imperialist competitive algorithm(ICA)and simulated annealing(SA)algorithm. The carrying capacity of water resources of Wenshan Prefecture from 2006 to 2015 is calculated by the wind-driven optimization-projection pursuit(WDO-PP)model by selecting 10 evaluation indices such as development and utilization of water resources and precipitation. Its change trends and the carrying capacities of water resources in the planning years of 2020 and 2030 are predicated and evaluated. The results show that: (1)For either unimodal or multimodal functions, the optimization results by the DWO algorithm is much better than those by the CS, DE, SFLA, PSO, ACO, ICA and SA algorithms, and it has better optimization accuracy, convergence rate, excellent capability of seeking the extreme values and convergence stability and reliability. (2)The evaluated results of carrying capacity of water resources of Wenshan Prefecture by WDO-PP model from 2006 to 2014 are basically capable(grade Ⅲ), and those in 2015 is capable(grade Ⅱ). The carrying capacity of water resources increases with time, and its trend is significant. The predicated results of carrying capacities of water resources in the planning years of 2020 and 2030 are capable(grade Ⅱ)and absolutely capable(grade Ⅰ), respectively.

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崔东文,金波.基于WDO-PP模型的文山州近10年水资源承载力评价[J].水利经济,2016,34(6):43-49.(CUI Dongwen, JIN Bo. Evaluation of carrying capacity of water resources of Wenshan Prefecture in latest 10 years based on WDO-PP model[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2016,34(6):43-49.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2016-04-13
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-12-02
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