基于模糊一致矩阵分析的水利水电工程建设社会稳定风险评估
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D632.4

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国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD172,15BSH037)


Risk assessment of social stability in construction of hydropower engineering based on fuzzy consistent matrix
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    摘要:

    选用模糊一致矩阵的数学分析工具,以B水电站为例,分析水利水电工程建设征地和移民安置过程中存在的社会稳定风险,测算各风险类型以及具体风险因素在影响社会稳定中的重要性程度,研究发现,风险发生的原因主要在移民和政府管理部门,风险类型权重最高的是移民补偿补助风险,风险因素权重最高的是移民的信访渠道风险。最后,提出设计单位在规划设计时必须保障移民的切身利益,同时考虑政府管理部门在配合工程建设中的潜在风险,做好科学规划,保证工程顺利实施。

    Abstract:

    By choosing the mathematical analysis tool, fuzzy consistent matrix, and taking hydropower station B as an example, the social stability risk in the process of land acquisition and resettlement due to construction of hydropower engineering is analyzed, and the importance degrees of various types of risks and the specific risk events in affecting the social stability are measured. The results show that the causes for risks mainly lie in the immigrants and the government administrative departments, the highest type of risks is the compensation benefit risk, and the highest risk factor is the petition channels of immigrants, Therefore, it is suggested that in the period of planning and designing of hydropower engineering, the design institutions should consider the immigrants' vital interests and the potential risks of government management in cooperating with engineering construction so as to make scientific planning and to ensure smooth implementation of the project.

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刘娜.基于模糊一致矩阵分析的水利水电工程建设社会稳定风险评估[J].水利经济,2017,35(2):36-40LIU Na.(Risk assessment of social stability in construction of hydropower engineering based on fuzzy consistent matrix[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2017,35(2):36-40.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2016-12-13
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-04-01
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