长三角港口腹地动态演变及耦合协调度研究
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F552

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教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(15YJA790052);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2018B31214)


Dynamicevolution and coupling coordination degree of ports and hinterland in Yangtze River Delta
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    摘要:

    明确港口腹地演变趋势、分析港腹耦合协调度,对长三角地区港腹联动发展具有重要意义。量化港口系统—腹地系统综合指标评价体系,运用高斯烟羽模型在2006、2011、2016年3个时间节点上测算长三角地区主要港口影响强度,并对腹地范围进行划分,利用耦合协调模型定量分析港口系统和直接腹地经济系统耦合协调度。研究结果表明:长三角地区港口呈现“一超多强”的格局,以上海港为中心,各港口多极发展;港口腹地范围整体稳定,局部波动,上海港的边缘腹地不断缩减;港口与腹地的耦合协调度处于上升态势,宁波—舟山港腹耦合协调度最高。

    Abstract:

    It is of great significance to clarify the evolution trend of hinterland of ports and to analyze the coupling coordination degree between ports and the hinterland in the Yangtze River Delta. The comprehensive index evaluation system for port system-hinterland system is quantified. For the three time nodes of 2006, 2011 and 2016, the influence intensities of major ports in the Yangtze River Delta are calculated using the Gauss plume model, and the hinterland area is divided. The coupling degree between the port system and the direct hinterland economic system is quantitatively analyzed by means of the coupling coordination model. The results show that the ports in the Yangtze River Delta exhibit a pattern of “one super-strong and multi strong”, and they develop in a multi-polar way, with Shanghai Port being the center. The hinterland of ports is generally stable and locally fluctuated, and the edge hinterland of Shanghai Port gradually shrinks. The comprehensive coordination degree between the ports and the hinterland has an increase trend, and that of Zhoushan Port in Ningbo is the highest.

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宋敏,史婷,王茜.长三角港口腹地动态演变及耦合协调度研究[J].水利经济,2018,36(6):20-25.(SONG Min, SHI Ting, WANG Qian. Dynamicevolution and coupling coordination degree of ports and hinterland in Yangtze River Delta[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2018,36(6):20-25.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2018-10-15
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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-12-05
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