总量控制下流域多元主体水排污权交易行为仿真
作者:
作者单位:

(江苏理工学院经济学院,江苏 常州 213001)

作者简介:

张凯(1990—),男,副教授,博士,主要从事生态经济、制度经济和水资源管理研究。E-mail:zhangkai@jsut.edu.cn

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中图分类号:

F124

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金(19CJY018);江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目(2019SJA1052)


Simulation of water emission trading behavior of multi-subjects in watershed under total amount control
Author:
Affiliation:

(School of Economics, Jiangsu University of Technology, Changzhou 213001, China)

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    摘要:

    面对水量水质双重制约的不利局面,我国提出生态优先、绿色发展的新理念,同时明确了采用市场化交易机制治理水环境污染问题。当前市场化交易机制存在诸多桎梏,政策对排污权个体交易行为的有效性亦无法判断。在分析现实治污困境的基础上,引入总量控制下的水排污权交易理念,对排污权多元主体的交易逻辑进行阐述,同时基于多主体系统构建排污权交易系统的仿真模型,模拟政府在排污权交易过程中的政策规制与排污企业的动态博弈关系。仿真结果表明:总量控制下的排污权交易制度能够对排污主体进行有效正向激励和反向惩罚,引导排污企业主动减排;在弱管制的自由竞争市场下,水排污权交易方倾向于违规合谋,隐瞒真实价格;当政府进行强管制有效监督,且上级政府部门能够对下级部门采取有效监督时,水排污权交易方能够减少违规合谋现象。

    Abstract:

    Facing the unfavorable situation of double restriction of water quantity and quality, China has put forward the new concept of ecological priority and green development, and at the same time has made it clear to adopt the market-oriented trading mechanism to control the water environment pollution. However, there are many shackles in the current market-oriented trading mechanism, and the effectiveness of policies on individual trading of emission rights cannot be judged. Therefore, based on the analysis of the real pollution control dilemma, the concept of water emission trading under the total amount control is introduced, and the trading logic of the multi-agent emission trading system is expounded. At the same time, a simulation model of the emission trading system is built based on the multi-agent system to simulate the dynamic game relationship between the government's policy regulation and the emission enterprises in the process of emission trading. The simulation results show that the emission trading system under the total amount control can effectively encourage and punish the emission subject, and guide the emission enterprises to actively reduce emissions. The results also show that in the free competition market with weak regulation, the traders of water emission rights tend to collude against the rules and conceal the real price. However, when the government carries out strong control and effective supervision, and the superior government departments can take effective supervision over the subordinate departments, the water emission rights traders can reduce the phenomenon of violation and collusion.

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引用本文

张凯.总量控制下流域多元主体水排污权交易行为仿真[J].水利经济,2022,40(5):46-53.(ZHANG Kai. Simulation of water emission trading behavior of multi-subjects in watershed under total amount control[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2022,40(5):46-53.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2021-09-02
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-29
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