基于PSR模型的长江流域水资源系统韧性分析
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河海大学商学院,江苏 南京211100;2.河海大学水利经济研究所,江苏 南京211100;3.江苏省水土保持生态环境监测总站,江苏 南京 210012 )

作者简介:

周申蓓(1974—),男,教授,博士,主要从事水利经济研究。E-mail:shenbei@hhu.edu.cn

中图分类号:

F205

基金项目:

中央高校基本科研业务费专项(B200204045);国家重点研发计划(2019YFC0409000)


Resilience analysis of water resources system of the Yangtze River Basin based on pressure-state-response model
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China;2.Institute Research of Water Economy, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China;3.Jiangsu Provincial Water and Soil Conservation Ecological Environment Monitoring Station, Nanjing 210012, China)

  • 摘要
  • | |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    为探究长江流域水资源系统韧性水平及其提升路径,基于PSR模型的研究框架,建立了长江流域水资源系统韧性评价指标体系,分析了长江流域11省市2008—2019年水资源系统韧性变化及其影响特征。结果表明:2008—2019年长江流域整体和各省市水资源系统韧性总体均呈上升趋势,其中江西、湖北、湖南和安徽的水资源韧性变化为压力驱动型,上海的韧性变化为状态驱动型,云南、贵州和浙江的韧性变化为响应驱动型,而重庆、四川和江苏的韧性变化为多重交替驱动型。建议在国家政策规划层面强化水资源韧性建设,并在长江流域各省市间形成区域韧性提升的联动联防机制,进而在流域规划、区域合作和措施落实方面共同促进长江流域水安全保障水平的提升。

    Abstract:

    To explore the level of resilience of water resource systems in the Yangtze River Basin and improvement pathways, this paper uses the framework of the “pressure-state-response” model to set the indicators for evaluating the resilience of water resources systems, and analyzes the changes in the resilience of water resources systems in 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Basin from 2008 to 2019 and their impact characteristics. The results show that the resilience of water resources systems in the Yangtze River Basin as a whole and in each province and city from 2008 to 2019 is generally on the rise, with Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan and Anhui being mainly pressure-driven, Shanghai being mainly state-driven, Yunnan, Guizhou and Zhejiang being mainly response-driven, and Chongqing, Sichuan and Jiangsu being multiple alternating-driven. The stress-state-state-toughness variation is mainly state-driven in Shanghai, response-driven in Yunnan, Guizhou and Zhejiang, and multiple alternating-driven in Chongqing, Sichuan and Jiangsu. It is recommended that the resilience of water resources be strengthened at the Yangtze River basin planning level and that a joint mechanism for regional resilience enhancement should be formed, so that the level of water security in the Yangtze River Basin can be jointly ensured in terms of basin planning, regional cooperation and implementation of measures.

    参考文献
    引证文献
引用本文

周申蓓,汪心愿,童建.基于PSR模型的长江流域水资源系统韧性分析[J].水利经济,2023,41(3):23-28, 57.(ZHOU Shenbei, WANG Xinyuan, TONG Jian. Resilience analysis of water resources system of the Yangtze River Basin based on pressure-state-response model[J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources,2023,41(3):23-28, 57.(in Chinese))

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-11-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-06-04