基于混合注意力机制和深度学习的大坝变形预测模型
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河海大学水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏 南京210098;2.河海大学水利水电学院,江苏 南京210098;3.三峡大学水利与环境学院,湖北 宜昌443002;4.甘肃省水利水电勘测设计研究院有限责任公司,甘肃 兰州730000)

作者简介:

向镇洋(1998—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事水工结构安全监控研究。E-mail: xiang_zy@hhu.edu.cn

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中图分类号:

TV698.1

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划(2018YFC1508603);国家自然科学基金重点项目(51739003);浙江省水利水电勘测设计院有限责任公司科标业项目(B2013)


Dam deformation prediction model based on mixed attention mechanism and deep learning
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Affiliation:

(1.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;3.College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002, China;4.Gansu Water Resources and Hydropower Survey and Design Research Institute Co., Ltd., Lanzhou 730000, China)

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    摘要:

    为深度挖掘时序数据中前后信息的动态相关性,探究大坝变形的内在影响机理,有效提高模型预测精度,构建了一种基于混合注意力机制与鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)的双向门控循环网络(BiGRU)预测模型。模型利用WOA对BiGRU进行超参数寻优以有效挖掘变形数据在时间维度的深层信息,并引入融合特征注意力(FATT)和时间注意力(TATT)的混合注意力机制计算各影响因子的贡献率,使模型可视化并提高模型捕捉环境因素动态变化的能力。以某高拱坝为例,将该模型预测结果与多种常用模型预测结果进行对比分析,结果表明该模型预测精度显著提升,贡献率计算符合大坝变形研究成果,验证了模型在大坝变形预测中的优越性与合理性。

    Abstract:

    In order to deeply mine the dynamic correlation between the front and back information in the time series data,explore the internal influence mechanism of dam deformation, and effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the model, a bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) prediction model based on mixed attention mechanism and whale optimization algorithm (WOA) was constructed. WOA was used to optimize the hyperparameters of BiGRU to effectively mine the deep information of deformation data in the time dimension.A mixed attention mechanism that combines factor attention mechanism (FATT) and temporal attention mechanism (TATT) was introduced to calculate the contribution rate of each impact factor, so as to visualize the model and improve the ability to capture the dynamic changes of environmental factors. Taking a high arch dam as an example, the prediction results of this model were compared with those of various commonly used models. The results show that the prediction accuracy of this model is significantly improved, and the calculation of contribution rate is in line with the research results of dam deformation, which verifies the superiority and rationality of the model in dam deformation prediction.

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引用本文

向镇洋,包腾飞,白妍丽,等.基于混合注意力机制和深度学习的大坝变形预测模型[J].水利水电科技进展,2023,43(2):96-101.(XIANG Zhenyang, BAO Tengfei, BAI Yanli, et al. Dam deformation prediction model based on mixed attention mechanism and deep learning[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2023,43(2):96-101.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2022-05-19
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-03-10
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