基于组合赋权-云模型的城市洪涝灾害韧性评价方法
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河海大学水利水电学院,江苏 南京210098;2.江苏省农村水利科技发展中心,江苏 南京210029 )

作者简介:

高玉琴(1978—),女,教授,博士,主要从事防洪减灾、水利规划与水利经济研究。E-mail:yqgao@hhu.edu.cn

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中图分类号:

X915.5

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3000104);国家自然科学基金项目(52079039);江苏省水利科技项目(2020050)


Evaluation method of urban flood disaster resilience based on combined weighting-cloud model
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.Jiangsu Rural Water Conservancy Science and Technology Development Center, Nanjing 210029, China)

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    摘要:

    基于城市系统应对洪涝灾害事件的响应过程,从基础抵御、防灾预警、应急响应和适应恢复4个方面构建了包含4个一级指标和20个二级指标的城市洪涝灾害韧性评价指标体系,在此基础上通过可拓层次分析法和熵权法对指标分别进行主观和客观赋权,结合博弈论理论进行组合赋权,提出了基于组合赋权-云模型的城市洪涝灾害韧性评价方法。南京市6个行政区的验证结果表明:该方法可有效评价城市洪涝灾害韧性水平,6个行政区中建邺区、江宁区为高韧性地区,鼓楼区、秦淮区为较高韧性地区,雨花台区为中等韧性地区,溧水区为较低韧性地区。

    Abstract:

    Based on the response process of urban system to flood disaster events, an urban flood disaster resilience evaluation index system consisting of four first-level indicators and 20 second-level indicators was constructed from four aspects: basic resistance, disaster prevention and early warning, emergency response, and adaptation recovery. On this basis, subjective and objective weights were assigned to the indicators through the extension analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method. Combined with the game theory, a new method of urban flood disaster resilience evaluation based on the combined weighting-cloud model was proposed. The verification results of six administrative districts in Nanjing City show that the method can effectively evaluate the resilience level of urban flood disaster. Among the six administrative districts, Jianye District and Jiangning District are high resilience areas, Gulou District and Qinhuai District are relatively high resilience areas, Yuhuatai District is a medium resilience area, and Lishui District is a relatively low resilience area.

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引用本文

高玉琴,汪键,高见,等.基于组合赋权-云模型的城市洪涝灾害韧性评价方法[J].水利水电科技进展,2024,44(2):22-29, 36.(GAO Yuqin, WANG Jian, GAO Jian, et al. Evaluation method of urban flood disaster resilience based on combined weighting-cloud model[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2024,44(2):22-29, 36.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2023-04-01
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-03-17
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