基于失效模式间全局相关性度量的大坝结构体系可靠性分析方法
作者:
作者单位:

(1.浙江水利水电学院水利工程学院,浙江 杭州310018;2.河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京210098;3.浙江水利水电学院人事处,浙江 杭州310018;4.杭州国家水电站大坝安全和应急工程技术中心有限公司,浙江 杭州311122 )

作者简介:

张晶梅(1990—),女,讲师,博士,主要从事水工结构安全监控研究。E-mail:zhangjm@zjweu.edu.cn

中图分类号:

TV698.1

基金项目:

水灾害防御全国重点实验室“一带一路”水与可持续发展科技基金项目(2021492211);浙江省教育厅一般科研项目(Y202352711);浙江省水利科技计划项目(RC2244);浙江省产学合作协同育人项目(浙发改社会〔2022〕318号)


System reliability analysis method based on global correlation measurement between failure modes of dam structure
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.School of Hydraulic Engineering, Zhejiang University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Hangzhou 310018, China;2.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;3.Human and Resources Office, Zhejiang University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Hangzhou 310018, China;4.Hangzhou National Hydropower Station Dam Safety and Emergency Engineering Technology Center Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 311122, China)

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    摘要:

    为克服大坝结构体系可靠性分析的局部性缺陷,考虑影响因子在整个失效域内的变化,在对大坝结构可靠性随机影响因子全局重要性考察的基础上,构建全局相关系数替代近似线性相关系数,提出了各失效模式间的全局相关性度量方法,并采用TIS-MCS法实现了全局相关性的量化分析。通过工程实例计算对比了全局相关性度量法和其他方法得到的大坝结构多失效模式下体系的随机可靠度,结果显示全局相关性度量法得到的体系可靠度更合理,为大坝结构体系可靠性分析提供了一种新方法。

    Abstract:

    In order to overcome the locality defects in the reliability analysis of dam structural systems and account for the variation of influencing factors in the entire failure domain, a global correlation coefficient was constructed to replace the approximate linear correlation coefficient based on the global importance assessment of stochastic influencing factors in dam structure reliability. A global measurement method for the correlation between different failure modes was proposed, and the TIS-MCS method was employed to achieve the quantitative analysis of global correlation. Through an engineering case study, the system reliability of a dam structure under multiple failure modes obtained using the global correlation measurement method was compared with results from other methods. The results indicate that the system reliability obtained using the global correlation measurement method is more reasonable, providing a new approach for the reliability analysis of dam structural systems.

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引用本文

张晶梅,王维汉,余成钢.基于失效模式间全局相关性度量的大坝结构体系可靠性分析方法[J].水利水电科技进展,2025,45(2):98-105.(ZHANG Jingmei, WANG Weihan, YU Chenggang. System reliability analysis method based on global correlation measurement between failure modes of dam structure[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2025,45(2):98-105.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-03-03
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-03-31