长江流域山区暴雨洪水的多因素驱动机制
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(1.浙江大学建筑工程学院水科学与工程研究所;2.河海大学水利部水循环与水动力系统重点实验室)

作者简介:

王靖凯(1999—),男,硕士,主要从事水资源与水环境工程研究。E-mail:22212098@zju.edu.com

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浙江省自然科学基金联合基金项目(LZJWZ24E090002)


Multi-factor driving mechanisms of rainstorm-induced floods in mountainous areas of the Yangtze River Basin
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Affiliation:

(1.Institute of Water Science and Engineering, College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University;2.Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Hydrodynamic System, Ministry of Water Resources, Hohai University)

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    摘要:

    基于长江流域212个水文站点的实测数据,分析了洪峰流量与降水量、前期土壤饱和度及流域面积之间的非线性关系,并验证了洪峰流量与降水量、前期土壤饱和度的幂函数关系,进而量化分析了前期土壤相对饱和度与相对降雨强度的比值(SPR)和洪峰流量之间的关系,以及SPR和洪峰流量的线性拟合方程中的常量系数、自变量系数与流域平均坡度之间的关系。结果表明:随着流域面积的增大,降水量对暴雨洪水的影响减弱,而前期土壤饱和度的影响增强;随着SPR的增大,洪峰流量呈先增大后减小的规律;流域平均坡度与常量系数呈正相关关系,流域平均坡度与自变量系数呈负相关关系。

    Abstract:

    Based on observed data from 212 hydrological stations in the Yangtze River Basin, this paper analyzes the nonlinear relationships among peak discharge, precipitation, antecedent soil saturation, and drainage area. It verifies the powerlaw relationships between peak discharge and precipitation as well as antecedent soil saturation, and quantitatively analyzes the relationship between peak discharge and the ratio of relative antecedent soil saturation to relative rainfall intensity (SPR). Specifically, the relationships between the basin mean slope and the coefficients (both the constant and the independent variable coefficients) of the linear fitting equation relating SPR to peak discharge are investigated.The results show that with the increase of drainage area, the influence of precipitation on rainstorm-induced floods weakens, while that of antecedent soil saturation strengthens. With the increase of SPR, peak discharge first increases and then decreases. The basin mean slope is positively correlated with the constant coefficient but negatively correlated with the independent variable coefficient.

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王靖凯,余甜雪,李纪宇,等.长江流域山区暴雨洪水的多因素驱动机制[J].水利水电科技进展,2026,46(3):58-63.(Wang Jingkai, Yu Tianxue, Li Jiyu, et al. Multi-factor driving mechanisms of rainstorm-induced floods in mountainous areas of the Yangtze River Basin[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2026,46(3):58-63.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-01
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