水闸闸室安全性态影响因素重要性分析
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TV662

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江苏省自然科学基金(BK20171288);国家自然科学基金(51779215)


Importance analysis of influencing factors for sluice chamber safety status
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    摘要:

    依据现行水闸设计规范,选取表征闸室安全性态的5个指标作为研究对象,筛选出对应的10个影响因素,并基于DRAM算法、BP神经网络以及Garson影响因素重要性度量指标,构建了水闸闸室单一和整体安全性态影响因素重要性分析方法。实例分析表明,方法合理可行。研究成果表明,对于闸室单一安全性态指标,上下游水深和风速对抗滑稳定和基底应力的影响较大,上下游水深对出口段渗透坡降的影响较大;对于闸室整体安全性态指标,上下游水深和风速的影响较大。

    Abstract:

    According to the current sluice design specifications, five indicators that characterize the safety status of sluice chambers were selected as the research object, and 10 corresponding influencing factors were screened out. Based on Delayed Rejection Adaptive Metropolis(DRAM)algorithm, BP neural network and Garson algorithm, the importance analysis method of the influencing factors for the single and overall safety status of a sluice chamber was constructed. The case study shows that the above method is reasonable and feasible. The research results reveal that for the single safety status index, the water depth in the upstream and downstream, and the wind speed have greater impact on anti-sliding stability and base stress. The seepage slope at the exit section is also influenced by the water depth in the upstream and downstream. The water depth and the wind speed have greater impact on the overall safety status index.

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梁佳铭,李占超,徐波,等.水闸闸室安全性态影响因素重要性分析[J].水利水电科技进展,2020,40(3):14-20.(LIANG Jiaming, LI Zhanchao, XU Bo, et al. Importance analysis of influencing factors for sluice chamber safety status[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2020,40(3):14-20.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-06-20
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