京津冀水资源与产业结构优化适配模型
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TV214.3

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北京市自然科学基金(9202005);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(21YJCZH176);北方工业大学北京城市治理研究基地项目(21CSZL24)


Adaptation model between water resources and industrial structure optimization in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region
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    摘要:

    立足京津冀的具体区情与水情,强化水资源刚性约束,提出京津冀水资源与产业结构优化适配理念与适配框架;构建适配方案设计原则及其对应的目标函数,确定适配方案设计的约束条件,集成建立多目标优化配置模型;构造适配方案诊断准则,嵌入多目标优化配置模型,实现京津冀水资源统筹优化配置。结果表明:京津冀总体目标优化函数值达到0.99,验证了构建的适配框架和适配模型的可行性;2000—2019年北京-天津、北京-河北、天津-河北水资源配置利用与经济发展的相对适应度分别处于[0.80,1.20]、[0.80,1.00]、[0.70,1.20]区间,其中2019年北京-天津、北京-河北、天津-河北的水资源配置利用与经济发展的相对适应度分别为0.878、0.975、1.110,位于诊断阈值区间[0.8,1.2]。

    Abstract:

    Based on the specific regional and water conditions of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the rigid constraints of water resources were strengthened, and the concept and framework of the adaptation of water resources and industrial structure optimization was clarified. The designing principle of the adaptation scheme and its corresponding objective function were constructed, the constraints of the adaptation scheme designing were determined, and the multi-objective optimization configuration model was integrated and established. The diagnosis criteria of the adaptation scheme were constructed, embedded in the multi-objective optimization configuration model, and the overall optimal allocation was realized. The results show that the overall objective optimization function value reaches 0. 99 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, verifying the feasibility of the adaptation framework and adaptation model. From 2000 to 2019, the relative adaptative degree of water resources allocation and economic development of Beijing-Tianjin, Beijing-Hebei and Tianjin-Hebei are in the range of [0. 80, 1. 20], [0. 80, 1. 00] and [0. 70, 1. 20] respectively. In 2019, the relative adaptative degree of water resources allocation and economic development of Beijing-Tianjin, Beijing-Hebei and Tianjin-Hebei are 0. 878, 0. 975 and 1. 110 respectively, which is in the diagnostic threshold interval [0. 8, 1. 2].

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吴丹,向筱茜,冀晨辉.京津冀水资源与产业结构优化适配模型[J].水利水电科技进展,2022,42(2):20-26.(WU Dan, XIANG Xiaoqian, JI Chenhui. Adaptation model between water resources and industrial structure optimization in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2022,42(2):20-26.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2021-03-03
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-09
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