Deformation safety monitoring model of concrete gravity dam based on interpretable machine learning
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(1.State Key Laboratory of Water Engineering Ecology and Environment in Arid Area, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China;2.Institute of Water Resources and Hydro-electric Engineering, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China)

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TV642

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    Abstract:

    In order to solve the problem that current machine learning-based dam safety monitoring models cannot give the explanation of the model prediction, the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) value theory was introduced, and combined with the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model, an interpretable safety monitoring model for concrete gravity dam deformation was established. The model can quantify the specific contribution of each impact factor. The verification results of an engineering example show that the model considers the complex nonlinear relationship between deformation and the environmental quantities, which is closer to the real situation, and it not only has good fitting accuracy and prediction accuracy, but also can interpret the model globally and locally.

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程琳,袁喜娜,马春辉,等.基于可解释机器学习的混凝土重力坝变形安全监控模型[J].水利水电科技进展,2025,45(3):77-85.(CHENG Lin, YUAN Xina, MA Chunhui, et al. Deformation safety monitoring model of concrete gravity dam based on interpretable machine learning[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2025,45(3):77-85.(in Chinese))

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History
  • Received:February 24,2024
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: May 20,2025
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