Comparison of quantile regression and GAMLSS model in non-stationary flood frequency analysis
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P333.6

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    Abstract:

    In order to explore the applicability of the quantile regression model in non-stationary frequency analysis, the quantile regression model and the GAMLSS model were used to analyze the non-stationary frequency of the annual maximum flood series at five stations in the Weihe River Basin and the Pearl River Basin. Qualitative analysis of the probability coverage shows that the goodness of the fitting effect for the quantile regression model is better than that of the GAMLSS model. Quantitative analysis of the Filliben correlation coefficient shows that the GAMLSS model has a better fitting effect but the advantages are not obvious. Comprehensive analysis shows that the overall fitting goodness of the quantile regression model is better than the GAMLSS model.

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李婧,闫磊,屈春来,等.分位数回归和GAMLSS模型在非一致性洪水频率分析中的比较[J].水利水电科技进展,2020,40(5):48-54.(LI Jing, YAN Lei, QU Chunlai, et al. Comparison of quantile regression and GAMLSS model in non-stationary flood frequency analysis[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2020,40(5):48-54.(in Chinese))

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  • Online: October 13,2020
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