单一模型地下水水质评价结果的可靠性探讨
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Study of reliability of groundwater quality evaluation results using a single model
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    摘要:

    分别采用单因子评价法、综合指数法、模糊综合评判法对镇江市浅层地下水水质进行评价,并给出悲观状况和乐观状况两种情景的评价结果,与采用传统单一评价方法所得结果进行比较。结果表明:(1)悲观状况下,Ⅰ类、Ⅱ类监测井占评价监测井总数的5.88%,Ⅲ类监测井占39.22%,Ⅳ~Ⅴ类监测井占54.9%;乐观状况下,Ⅰ类、Ⅱ类监测井占评价监测井总数的54.9%,Ⅲ类监测井占5.88%,Ⅳ~Ⅴ类监测井占39.22%。(2)不同评价方法的评价结果相差较大,依赖单一评价模型的评价结果进行决策,是具有风险的。

    Abstract:

    The water quality of shallow groundwater in Zhenjiang City was evaluated using the single factor evaluation method, the comprehensive index method, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The evaluation results in regards to a pessimistic situation and an optimistic situation were obtained, and the results were compared with those obtained with the traditional single evaluation method. The study shows the following results: (1)In the pessimistic situation, the monitoring wells of the grade I and grade II levels accounted for 5. 88% of the total monitoring wells evaluated, the monitoring wells of the grade III level accounted for 39. 22%, and those of the grade IV and V levels accounted for 54. 9%; in the optimistic situation, the monitoring wells of the grade I and grade II levels accounted for 54. 9%, the monitoring wells of grade III accounted for 5. 88%, and those of the grade IV and V levels accounted for 39. 22%. (2)These evaluation methods generate remarkably different results, indicating that it is risky to make a decision based on a single evaluation method.

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刘礼庆,袁乃华,夏蔚芸.单一模型地下水水质评价结果的可靠性探讨[J].水资源保护,2016,32(3):10-13.(LIU Liqing, YUAN Naihua, XIA Weiyun. Study of reliability of groundwater quality evaluation results using a single model[J]. Water Resources Protection,2016,32(3):10-13.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2015-05-20
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-05-25
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