丝绸之路经济带背景下新疆水资源与经济社会协调性评价
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TV213

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水利部公益性行业科研专项(201301055)


Evaluation of coordination between water resources and economic and social development in Xinjiang in context of Silk Road Economic Belt
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    摘要:

    丝绸之路经济带战略实施,必将给沿线我国各省区经济社会带来新的发展机遇,分别从4个方面构建水资源与经济社会协调发展指标体系,运用变异系数法客观确定评价指标权重,基于距离协调度对2005—2013年新疆水资源与经济社会协调发展度进行定量分析。结果表明:新疆水资源与经济社会系统处于上升趋势,2005—2013年期间经济社会系统发展速度快于水资源发展;根据水资源与经济社会的协调发展度分为2个阶段:2005—2011年为第一阶段,水资源与经济社会系统的协调发展度一直处于上升阶段;2011—2013年为第二阶段,水资源与经济社会的协调发展度出现下降趋势,但是总体仍然处于中级协调水平。最后,对新疆在丝绸之路经济带建设中水资源与经济社会协调发展提出建议和对策。

    Abstract:

    The Silk Road Economic Belt strategy will bring new opportunities for economic and social development in many provinces and districts along the route. In this study, an indicator system of coordination between water resources and economic and social development was built considering four aspects. The coefficient of variation method was used to determine the evaluation index weight objectively. The degree of coordination between water resources and economic and social development in Xinjiang during the period from 2005 to 2013was analyzed quantitatively based on the distance coordination model. The results show that the water resources and indicators of the socio-economic system of Xinjiang were in an uptrend. The growth rate of the socio-economic system was higher than that of the water resources during the study period. According to the degree of coordination, the coordinated development was divided into two periods: the first period from 2005 to 2011, during which the degree of coordination between water resources and economic and social development showed an upward trend, and the second period from 2011 to 2013, during which the degree of coordination between water resources and economic and social development showed a descending trend. However, the overall coordination degree remained at the middle level. Proposals and countermeasures for coordinating water resources and economic and social development in Xinjiang during the construction of the Silk Road Economic Belt are put forward.

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吴业鹏,袁汝华.丝绸之路经济带背景下新疆水资源与经济社会协调性评价[J].水资源保护,2016,32(4):60-66.(WU Yepeng, YUAN Ruhua. Evaluation of coordination between water resources and economic and social development in Xinjiang in context of Silk Road Economic Belt[J]. Water Resources Protection,2016,32(4):60-66.(in Chinese))

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2015-07-21
  • 在线发布日期: 2016-07-13