基于TELEMAC-2D模型的深圳洪涝风险评估
作者:
作者单位:

(1.中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京 100038;2.水利部水资源与水生态工程技术研究中心,北京 100044;3.水利部数字孪生流域重点实验室,北京 100038)

作者简介:

李国一(1992—),男,博士研究生,主要从事城市水文研究。E-mail:1969687116@qq.com 通信作者:刘家宏(1977—),男,正高级工程师,博士,主要从事水文与水资源研究。E-mail:liujh@iwhr.com

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中图分类号:

TV213

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(51739011,51979285);流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室基金(SKL2022TS11)


Flood risk assessment of Shenzhen City based on TELEMAC-2D model
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Affiliation:

(1.State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China;2.Water Resources and Water Ecological Engineering Technology Research Center of Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing 100044, China;3.Key Laboratory of River Basin Digital Twinning of Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing 100038, China)

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    摘要:

    基于TELEMAC-2D模型构建深圳市深圳河流域洪涝仿真模型,选取两场实测暴雨(20180607和20180916)的内涝淹没资料对模型进行验证,结果表明所构建的模型具有较好的可靠性和精度。采用构建的仿真模型模拟暴雨重现期为50年一遇、雨峰系数为0.4条件下,降雨历时分别为30.min、60.min、90.min和120.min4种情景下洪涝发生的过程,获取积水深度、积水面积和流速等致灾因子,考虑不同流速和积水深度组合情境下对深圳河流域进行内涝风险评估。结果表明:随着降雨历时的增加,积水深度、积水面积和流速均增大;根据积水深度和流速对深圳河流域进行洪涝风险分区,中高风险区面积随着降雨历时的增加不断增大;中高风险区占流域总面积比例较小,但容易出现人员伤亡和财产损失,当出现中高风险区时,应及时发布信息,积极采取应急减灾措施。

    Abstract:

    Based on TELEMAC-2D model, a flood simulation model of the Shenzhen River Basin in Shenzhen City was established. Two measured rainstorm events (20180607 and 20180916) were selected for model verification. The results show that the established model has good reliability and accuracy. The established model was used to simulate the process of flood and waterlogging under the conditions that the return period of rainstorm is 50 years, the rainfall peak coefficient is 0.4, and the rainfall duration is 30.min, 60.min, 90.min and 120.min, respectively, to obtain the disaster causing factors such as the ponding depth, ponding area and flow velocity. Considering the combination of different flow velocity and ponding depth, the risk assessment of waterlogging in the Shenzhen River Basin was carried out. The results show that with the increase of rainfall duration, the ponding depth, ponding area and flow velocity increase. According to the ponding depth and flow velocity, the flood risk zoning of the Shenzhen River Basin is carried out. The areas of medium- and high-risk zone increase with the increase of rainfall duration. Medium- and high-risk zone areas account for a small proportion of the total area of the basin, but are prone to casualties and property losses. When medium and high-risk zone occur, information shall be released in time and emergency and disaster reduction measures shall be actively taken.

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引用本文

李国一,刘家宏.基于TELEMAC-2D模型的深圳洪涝风险评估[J].水资源保护,2022,38(5):58-64.(LI Guoyi, LIU Jiahong. Flood risk assessment of Shenzhen City based on TELEMAC-2D model[J]. Water Resources Protection,2022,38(5):58-64.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2021-09-15
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-20
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