南水北调东线调水区及受水区降水径流变化特征
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作者单位:

(1.南京水利科学研究院水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏 南京 210029;2.四川大学水利水电学院,四川 成都 610065)

作者简介:

陶佳辉(1993—),男,博士研究生,主要从事水资源规划与配置研究。E-mail:jhtao@smail.nju.edu.cn 通信作者:吕良华(1989—),男,高级工程师,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:lvlianghua2013@163.com

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中图分类号:

TV213.4

基金项目:

江苏省水利科技项目(2019034);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金(Y520008, Y519002);国家重点研发计划(2018YFC0407206)


Variation characteristics of precipitation and runoff in water diversion area and water receiving area of East Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210098,China;2. College of Water Resources and Hydropower, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065,China)

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    摘要:

    为给南水北调工程规划与运行提供科学依据,基于比《南水北调工程总体规划》制定水平年更加完整的水文观测数据识别2001年以来工程区降水、径流变化特征,采用Mann-Kendall趋势检验、小波分析等方法分析了比较期(2001—2016年)相对于基准期(1956—2000年)的降水、径流统计特性差异和变化特征。结果表明:相对于基准期,比较期调水区降水量变化不明显,长江大通水文站天然径流量下降3.5%,调水区水资源条件较为稳定;比较期受水区降水量较基准期基本无变化,天然径流量较基准期上升3.9%,但山东省、河北省和天津市受水区天然径流量下降6.6%,3省市天然径流量呈明显衰减态势。

    Abstract:

    In order to provide a scientific basis for the planning and operation of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project, the characteristics of precipitation and runoff changes in the project area since 2001 are identified based on more complete hydrological observation data than those in the level years formulated in “General Plan of the South to North Water Transfer Project”. Mann-Kendall trend test, wavelet analysis and other methods are used to analyze the statistical difference and variation characteristics of precipitation and runoff between the comparison period (2001—2016) and the reference period (1956—2000). The results show that compared with the reference period, the precipitation in the water diversion area has no obvious change in the comparison period. The natural runoff of Datong Hydrologic Station on the Yangtze River decreases by 3.5%, and the water resource conditions in the water diversion area are relatively stable. The precipitation in the water receiving area in the comparison period is basically unchanged compared with the reference period, and the natural runoff is 3.9% higher. However, the natural runoff in the water receiving area of Shandong Province, Hebei Province and Tianjin City decrease by 6.6%, and the natural runoff in the three provinces and city show a significant decline trend.

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陶佳辉,卞锦宇,敖天其,等.南水北调东线调水区及受水区降水径流变化特征[J].水资源保护,2023,39(1):133-141.(TAO Jiahui, BIAN Jinyu, AO Tianqi, et al. Variation characteristics of precipitation and runoff in water diversion area and water receiving area of East Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project[J]. Water Resources Protection,2023,39(1):133-141.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2021-10-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-01-21
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