西北地区生态干旱脆弱性评估
作者:
作者单位:

(1.西北农林科技大学水利与建筑工程学院,陕西 杨凌 712100;2.西北农林科技大学旱区农业水土工程教育部重点实验室,陕西 杨凌 712100)

作者简介:

刘轩(1998—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事生态干旱研究。 E-mail:liuxuan1998nwafu@163.com 通信作者:粟晓玲(1968—),女,教授,博士,主要从事水文模拟及水资源规划研究。E-mail:xiaolingsu@nwafu.edu.cn

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中图分类号:

X826

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(52079111)


Vulnerability assessment of ecological drought in Northwest China
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, 712100, China;2.Key Laboratory for Agricultural Soil and Water Engineering in Arid Area of Ministry of Education, Northwest A & F University, Yangling 712100, China)

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    摘要:

    为了解西北地区生态干旱脆弱性的空间分布和演变趋势,从暴露度、敏感性以及影响力三方面提出了生态干旱脆弱性的概念及定量表征方法,利用熵权法构建生态干旱脆弱性指数,采用莫兰指数评估脆弱性指数的空间相关性和脆弱性局部空间聚集情况,分析了西北地区1985—2014年的生态干旱脆弱性区域分布、脆弱性程度及趋势。结果表明:西北地区生态干旱高脆弱区主要分布在天山山脉、青海南部、青海湖附近、甘肃中部、陕北以及陕西中部等地区,其余地区均处于中等及以下脆弱性等级;生态干旱脆弱性指数局部空间分布相对聚集,呈现出“大聚集、小分散”的空间分布格局;生态干旱脆弱性在研究时段呈现先升高后降低的趋势,伊犁盆地、吐鲁番盆地和河西走廊地区脆弱性改善效果明显,但青海南部、陕北等局部地区脆弱性仍有升高趋势,未来需要加强这些地区的生态保护工作。

    Abstract:

    To understand the spatial distribution and evolution trend of ecological drought vulnerability in Northwest China, the concept of ecological drought vulnerability and its quantitative characterization methods were proposed in terms of exposure, sensitivity and impact. Entropy weight method is adopted to develop the ecological drought vulnerability indices. Moran index is adopted to evaluate the correlation of drought vulnerability indices in spatial distribution and accumulation of vulnerability in local space. The regional distribution, vulnerability degree and trend of ecological drought vulnerability in Northwest China during 1985-2014 were analyzed. The results showed that ecological drought highly vulnerable areas in Northwest China were mainly distributed in Tianshan Mountains, southern Qinghai, the area near Qinghai Lake, central Gansu, northern Shaanxi and central Shaanxi, while the rest of the areas are moderate or low vulnerable. The spatial distribution pattern of ecological drought vulnerability index is relatively concentrated, showing a “large aggregation and small dispersion” pattern. Ecological drought vulnerability shows a trend of increasing and then decreasing during the studied period. The ecological drought vulnerability in Yili Basin, Turpan Basin and Hexi Corridor has improved significantly, while that in areas including southern Qinghai and northern Shaanxi still show a trend of increase. The ecological protection works in these areas need to be strengthen in the future.

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刘轩,粟晓玲,刘雨翰,等.西北地区生态干旱脆弱性评估[J].水资源保护,2023,39(3):65-73.(LIU Xuan, SU Xiaoling, LIU Yuhan, et al. Vulnerability assessment of ecological drought in Northwest China[J]. Water Resources Protection,2023,39(3):65-73.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2022-04-06
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-05-30
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