基于TELEMAC-2D模型的济南市洪涝模拟及淹没分析
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(1.山东农业工程学院国土资源与测绘工程学院,山东 济南 250100;2.中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京 100038;3.应急管理部国家自然灾害防治研究院,北京 100085 )

作者简介:

李国一(1992—),男,讲师,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:1969687116@qq.com 通信作者:邵微微(1981—),女,正高级工程师,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:shaoww@iwhr.com

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3090600,2022YFE0205200);国家自然科学基金项目(52192671);中国水利水电科学研究院基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(WR110145B0022022);流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室基金项目(SKL2022TS11)


Flood simulation and inundation analysis in Ji’nan City based on TELEMAC-2D model
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(1.School of Land and Resources, Surveying and Mapping Engineering, Shandong Agricultural and Engineering University, Ji’nan 250100, China;2.State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cyele in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China;3.National Institute of Nature Hazard, Ministry of Emergence Management of China, Beijing 100085, China)

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    摘要:

    基于TELEMAC-2D模型构建了济南市洪涝仿真模型,选取济南市“20070718”实测典型暴雨城市内涝淹没资料对模型进行了验证,结果表明模拟水深误差较小,模型具有较高的精度和可靠性。采用构建的模型模拟了不同暴雨重现期下济南市主城区的洪涝演进过程,并分析了研究区淹没水深、淹没面积和洪水流速等特征,结果表明:随着降雨重现期的增大,研究区淹没水深大于0.15m的面积在总面积中的占比随之增大,当降雨重现期分别为1、5、10、20、50、100a时,面积占比分别为0.05%、1.10%、1.98%、2.89%、4.28%、5.15%,最大洪水流速分别为0.478、1.019、1.309、1.494、1.890、2.214m/s;根据洪涝淹没特征,从工程和非工程措施两方面提出了防洪排涝应对举措。

    Abstract:

    A flood simulation model of Ji’nan City was constructed based on the TELEMAC-2D model, and the inundation data of a typical rainstorm of “20070718”in Ji’nan City were selected to validate the model. The results show that the error of simulated water depth is small, indicating that the constructed urban flood simulation model has high accuracy and reliability in flood simulation. The flooding evolution processes under different rainfall return periods were simulated, and the submerged depth, inundated area, and flood velocity in the study area were analyzed. The simulation results show that, with the increase of the rainfall return period, the ratio of area with water depth greater than 0.15 m to the total area also increases. For the rainfall return period of 1,5, 10,20, 50, and 100 years, the area ratios were 0.05%, 1.10%, 1.98%, 2.89%, 4.28%, and 5.15%, respectively, and the maximum flood velocities were 0.478, 1.019, 1.309, 1.494, 1.890, and 2.214 m/s, respectively. Based on the characteristics of flood inundation, engineering and non-engineering measures for urban flood prevention and drainage in Ji’nan City were proposed.

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李国一,邵薇薇,刘家宏,等.基于TELEMAC-2D模型的济南市洪涝模拟及淹没分析[J].水资源保护,2024,40(5):46-52.(LI Guoyi, SHAO Weiwei, LIU Jiahong, et al. Flood simulation and inundation analysis in Ji’nan City based on TELEMAC-2D model[J]. Water Resources Protection,2024,40(5):46-52.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-01-07
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-10-06
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