长江黄河跨流域多线路水网韧性评估
作者:
作者单位:

(1.武汉大学水资源工程与调度全国重点实验室,湖北 武汉 430072;2.水利部水利水电规划设计总院,北京 100120 )

作者简介:

范志鹏(1999—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:fzpengg@whu.edu.cn 通信作者:付湘(1971—),女,教授,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:xfu@whu.edu.cn

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划重点项目(2022YFC3202300);国家自然科学基金项目(U21A2002)


Resilience evaluation for the Yangtze River and Yellow River inter-basin multi-route water network//
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China;2.General Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Planning and Design, Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing 100120, China)

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    摘要:

    为评估长江黄河跨流域水网运行的可靠性与整体韧性,构建了长江黄河跨流域水网结点概化图,基于复杂网络理论,采用度中心性、介数中心性和PageRank值作为评估指标,利用D-S证据理论融合多源信息的优势,对跨流域多线路水网结点的重要性进行了评估,并基于网络效率和最大连通子图构建了跨流域多线路水网韧性评估模型,对长江黄河跨流域水网韧性进行了评估。结果表明:长江黄河跨流域水网在结点“失效”数量增加时,出现了结点簇孤立和连通性下降的现象;当结点“失效”数量占比为6.5%时,水网韧性约为0.6,当结点“失效”数量占比为10.9%时,度中心性算法得到的水网韧性最低,不足0.4;维持47.8%重要结点正常运行,水网韧性将提高至0.83。

    Abstract:

    To evaluate the reliability and overall resilience of the Yangtze River and Yellow River inter-basin water network, a generalized node diagram of the inter-basin multi-route water network was established. Based on the complex network theory, a comprehensive assessment of node importance in the inter-basin multi-route water network was conducted by taking the advantages of D-S evidence theory in fusing multi-source information and integrating the indexes of the degree centrality, betweenness centrality, and PageRank value. Additionally, a resilience evaluation model for the inter-basin multi-route water network was constructed based on network efficiency and the largest connected subgraph, and the resilience of the Yangtze River and Yellow River inter-basin water network was evaluated. The results indicate that as the number of “failed” nodes increases, phenomena such as clustering of isolated nodes and decreased connectivity occur. Specifically, when the failure rate of nodes reaches 6.5%, the network’s resilience drops to 0.6, and when this rate increases to 10.9%, the resilience obtained by the degree centrality algorithm falls below 0.4. Notably, maintaining the normal operation of the top 47.8% most important nodes can elevate the network’s resilience to 0.83. Keywords: complex network theory; D-S evidence theory; water network resilience; inter-basin water network; the Yangtze River; the Yellow River 〖FL

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范志鹏,李云玲,马睿,等.长江黄河跨流域多线路水网韧性评估[J].水资源保护,2025,41(1):27-34, 75.(FAN Zhipeng, LI Yunling, MA Rui, et al. Resilience evaluation for the Yangtze River and Yellow River inter-basin multi-route water network//[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(1):27-34, 75.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-03-04