复杂联围内涝防治规划中雨洪模拟精度提升研究
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(1.华南理工大学土木与交通学院水利水电工程系,广东 广州 510640;2.广东省水利电力勘测设计研究院有限公司,广东 广州 510611;3.中山市水利水电勘测设计咨询有限公司,广东 中山 528400 )

作者简介:

刘曾美(1970—),女,副教授,博士,主要从事洪涝灾害防治和水利综合规划研究。E-mail:liuzm@scut.edu.cn

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广东省水利科技创新项目(2016-27)


Study on accuracy improvement of stormwater simulation in waterlogging control planning for complex integrated embankment
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(1.Department of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China;2.Guangdong Hydropower Planning & Design Institute Company Limited,Guangzhou 510611,China;3.Zhongshan Water Resources and Hydropower Survey Design Consulting Co., Ltd., Zhongshan 528400, China)

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    摘要:

    针对雨洪模型结构应与实际物理现象较好吻合,以保障内涝防治规划中雨洪模拟结果的准确性,提出了一套提升复杂联围雨洪模拟精度的方法。通过剖析复杂联围的排涝模式,揭示复杂联围的排涝特点及联围内部片区涝水排除特点,分析片区不同地形的产汇流特性及其适宜的模拟方法,并提出了复杂联围的雨洪模型构建方法和建模步骤。以粤港澳大湾区的中(山)珠(海)联围为例,开展复杂联围雨洪模型构建的实证研究。结果表明:构建的模型结构与实际雨洪过程相吻合,模型精度较高,并在率定测试中表现稳定,平均纳什 效率系数比其他未遵循联围排涝过程的模型结构高出0.05~0.61。

    Abstract:

    In order to ensure that the structure of the stormwater model is well aligned with the actual physical phenomena, thereby guaranteeing the accuracy of the stormwater simulation results in flood prevention planning, a set of methods for improving the accuracy of complex integrated embankment stormwater simulation is proposed. The drainage patterns of complex integrated embankment are analyzed, revealing the drainage characteristics of complex integrated embankment and the features of floodwater discharge within the internal areas of the integrated embankment. The runoff characteristics of different terrains in the areas and their suitable simulation methods are also examined. Based on these analyses, a method and steps for constructing a stormwater model for complex integrated embankment are proposed. Taking the Zhongshan-Zhuhai integrated embankment in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area as an example, an empirical study on the construction of a complex integrated embankment stormwater model is conducted. The results show that the constructed model structure is consistent with the actual stormwater process, with high precision and stable performance in calibration and testing. The average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient is 0.05 to 0.61 higher than that of other model structures that do not follow the drainage process of the integrated embankment.

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刘曾美,曹钰帆,黎智良,等.复杂联围内涝防治规划中雨洪模拟精度提升研究[J].水资源保护,2025,41(1):64-75.(LIU Zengmei, CAO Yufan, LI Zhiliang, et al. Study on accuracy improvement of stormwater simulation in waterlogging control planning for complex integrated embankment[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(1):64-75.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-09
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-03-04
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